A Shooting Model - An Exp(G)lanation and Application | differentgame - 0 views
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[pop-up] urbain on 27 Jan 15"We can begin to assign an 'expected goal' value for each shot by looking back into history. Not all shots are the same, so you have to group similar ones together. How often over time is the same type of chance converted? Working this out will give us an 'expected goal' value. Each expected goals model that you come across will have different inputs. All of them use the location of where the shot was taken from. However, each model will be different in how detailed its location data is."