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A Shooting Model - An Exp(G)lanation and Application | differentgame - 0 views

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    "We can begin to assign an 'expected goal' value for each shot by looking back into history. Not all shots are the same, so you have to group similar ones together. How often over time is the same type of chance converted? Working this out will give us an 'expected goal' value. Each expected goals model that you come across will have different inputs. All of them use the location of where the shot was taken from. However, each model will be different in how detailed its location data is."
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Introducing the Composite Team Rating | 11tegen11 - 0 views

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    "What's a valuable metric to assess historical performance isn't always the best tool to make predictions. This article will introduce a composite team rating, and show that it is a better predictor than Expected Goals alone."
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Ligue 1 : les gardiens en chiffres (phase aller 2017-18) | Chroniques Tactiques : footb... - 0 views

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    "Comme chaque saison avant que la Ligue 1 reprenne, l'heure est venue de procéder à différents bilans chiffrés de la phase aller. Pour commencer, ce sont les gardiens de but qui sont à l'honneur pour un 3ème point semestriel. Le premier avait été fait en janvier 2017, le second en mai dernier. Et comme on ne change pas une méthode qui fonctionne plutôt bien, celui-ci développera les mêmes points à savoir : Le nombre de tirs subis et le pourcentage d'arrêts La comparaison Expected Goals subis / buts encaissés L'efficacité face aux Big Chances subies (grosses occasions)."
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OptaPro - 0 views

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    "- Classifying Central Midfielders - Marek Kwiatkowski - Can we measure how much more teams leave themselves open at the back when chasing down a lead, and which teams tend to 'shell' when they go a goal up? - Ben Woolcock - Similarity Scores using Opta data - Jonathan Gruhl - Quantitative analysis of football players' pre- and post-pass movements - Laszlo Gyarmati, Hawoon Kwak and Pablo Rodriguez - Developing a new method to support football teams - Pedro Marques, Daniel Baiao and Richard Duarte - Please stop applauding diagonal cross-field passes - Colm McMullan - Assessing player performance and tactics using a multi-agent football simulation engine - Martin Eastwood, Daniel Edwards and David Hastie - If you don't buy a ticket, can you still win the raffle? - Oliver Page - Determine the attacking option with the greatest Expected Value for a player receiving a pass 25-35 yards from goal - Colin Trainor "
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The story of a football match in one picture | 11tegen11 - 0 views

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    "ExpG stands for Expected Goals, where each attempt to score is assigned a probability of resulting in a goal, based on location, type of shot, assist details and some other factors."
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