Measure and Probability in Cosmology - 0 views
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David Marsh on 09 Feb 12A long paper on measures in Cosmology, which I haven't read in its entireity yet. However, I found the final comment in the abstract quite provocative and interesting: "In a universe where the second law of thermodynamics holds, one cannot make use of our knowledge of the present state of the universe to "retrodict" the likelihood of past conditions." This is due to laws being time symmetric, while in practice we have the second law. In practice we *must* resort to Occam's razor and/or beauty arguments. Later: "if one wishes to make an argument in favor of inflation having occurred in the early universe, this argument must be based upon its being a simple and/or elegant hypothesis that accounts for observed phenomena. Any argument about the "likelihood" of inflation based upon the Liouville (or other) measure on phase space will require a justification for the use of this measure." Sometimes, beauty and Occam's razor are incompatible, or rather scale dependent (as in the case of the string landscape), and from a purely philosophical point of view I don't feel entriely comfortable with either being used as a criterion of truth when trying to discover things about the universe. However, this paper makes this seem inevitable. Certainly food for thought.