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John Muccini

Behind Monty Hall's Doors: Puzzle, Debate and Answer? - The New York Times - 0 views

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    Although I did not enter the debate, I remember the Marilyn vos Savant vs. the mathematicians episode. I was in high school at the time. Marilyn's solution is sound, and her tactics are indeed wise: to people who disagreed with her explanation, she suggested they simply experiment and see what they find. So both the Bayesian and frequency models of probability are brought into play here. Persi Diaconis, the carnival card shark turned Harvard mathematics professor who I mentioned in class, is also quoted in this article. The Marilyn vs. the Mathematicians rematch did not turn out so well for her. When Wiles and Taylor finally proved Fermat's Last Theorem, she pronounced it phony because she didn't understand it. The mathematical consensus remains that the proof is good.
Samantha Spilkin

ACS :: Lifetime Probability of Developing or Dying From Cancer - 0 views

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    Yikes! A 45% chance of some kind of cancer. Not good news for those of us over 30.
Flora Kwong

Probability of Color Blindness - 0 views

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    That's a nice set of questions! Have you verified his calculations. It seems there's one bit of data he's assuming.
Samantha Spilkin

How to Calculate Bridge Suit Split Combinatorics/Probability - 0 views

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    Taking Bridge to another level
John Muccini

Live Scoreboard | FanGraphs Baseball - 0 views

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    Live updated win probabilites for baseball games based on the state (runners on, number of outs and innings remaining) of each of the games.
Matthew Leingang

Twin - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia - 0 views

  • The twin birth rate in the United States in 2004, 2005 and 2006 was slightly above 32 twin live births per 1,000 live births
  • The twin birth rate in the United States in 2004, 2005 and 2006 was slightly above 32 twin live births per 1,000 live births[2].
Matthew Leingang

Probability and Poker - 0 views

    • Matthew Leingang
       
      I think royal flush is just another name for a straight flush that consists of the face cards. It's not usually distinghuished from other straight flushes. But it is the least probable hand!
Matthew Leingang

BRIDGE; BETTING WITH THE ODDS - The New York Times - 0 views

  • the second Earl of Yarborough offered an interesting bet to his whist-playing friends: a thousand to one against them picking up a hand with no card above a nine. Mathematics was on his side since the odds are 1,827 to 1. There is no record that he ever paid off.
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    NY Times article about bridge and probability
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    Unfortunately, the rest of the column is full of bridge jargon and I don't play. This is like NASCAR for nerds.
Matthew Leingang

Products - Life Tables - Homepage - 0 views

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    Data on the portion of individuals surviving to various ages broken down by sex, race, and other factors.
Matthew Leingang

The Mathematics of Magic: The Gathering - 0 views

    • Matthew Leingang
       
      Interesting point. I think there's a lot of math behind designing any popular game involving chance. For instance, legend has it the game High-Ho Cherry-O! was engineered to make the expected game length about equal to the attention span of the children playing it. Here you have a case of designers not understanding the game they were developing. Casino games seem simple enough to attract interest (and pay often enough to keep it) but still manage to benefit the house.
Matthew Leingang

The Oracle of Bacon - 0 views

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    Just for fun, you can play around with this.
Matthew Leingang

Parimutuel betting - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia - 0 views

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    Describing the system by which money is won and odds are calculated in horse racing and large-prize lottery games.
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