Group items tagged

Applications of conditional probability

Applications of conditional probability

conditional probability, baye's probabilities, independent events

Types of probability Conditional probability Expected values

Interesting but a little morbid.

Interesting but a little morbid.

That's creepy.

There are at least 3 conditional probabilities problems embedded in the article (it doesn't look like there are specific enough numbers to solve them precisely though).

Walk-through videos about some basic topics of probability. Scroll down on the right side to 'Probability ' to view the videos of that category

Although I did not enter the debate, I remember the Marilyn vos Savant vs. the mathematicians episode. I was in high school at the time. Marilyn's solution is sound, and her tactics are indeed wise: to people who disagreed with her explanation, she suggested they simply experiment and see what they find. So both the Bayesian and frequency models of probability are brought into play here. Persi Diaconis, the carnival card shark turned Harvard mathematics professor who I mentioned in class, is also quoted in this article. The Marilyn vs. the Mathematicians rematch did not turn out so well for her. When Wiles and Taylor finally proved Fermat's Last Theorem, she pronounced it phony because she didn't understand it. The mathematical consensus remains that the proof is good.