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Benjamin McKeown

Fact Sheet: Attaining the Demographic Dividend - 0 views

  • The demographic dividend is the accelerated economic growth that may result from a decline in a country's birth and death rates and the subsequent change in the age structure of the population. With fewer births each year, a country's young dependent population declines in relation to the working-age population. With fewer people to support, a country has a window of opportunity for rapid economic growth if the right social and economic policies are developed and investments made.
  • The first step, in fact, is a transition from high birth and death rates to low birth rates and child death rates—a process referred to as the "demographic transition."
  • While child survival has greatly improved in developing countries, birth rates remain high in many of them. To achieve the economic benefits of the demographic dividend, developing countries must substantially lower both birth and child death rates.
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  • One in four women in developing countries wants to avoid becoming pregnant or delay or space their births but is not using a modern family planning method.
  • sub-Saharan Africa, women in the region today have on average 5.1 children
  • Investment in voluntary family planning helped Thailand accelerate economic growth and provides a model for sub-Saharan African countries.
  • his shifted the age structure of Thailand's population, providing a critical first step toward achieving the economic benefits of a demographic dividend.
  • Rwanda is one of several countries in eastern and southern Africa where investments in voluntary family planning and child survival have led to significantly lower fertility.
  • If the impressive progress continues, Rwanda will, by 2030, have achieved the demographic conditions necessary for accelerated economic growth.
  • While family planning is necessary for establishing the conditions for a demographic dividend, investments in child health, education, and gender equality are critical additional steps that contribute to family planning use and economic growth.
Benjamin McKeown

NOAA's Coral Reef Conservation Program: Values - 0 views

  • Coral ecosystems are a source of food for millions; protect coastlines from storms and erosion; provide habitat, spawning and nursery grounds for economically important fish species; provide jobs and income to local economies from fishing, recreation, and tourism; are a source of new medicines, and are hotspots of marine biodiversity. They also are of great cultural importance in many regions around the world, particularly Polynesia.
  • They are also found along the coasts of over 100 other countries.
  • one recent estimate gave the total net benefit of the world's coral reef ecosystems to be $29.8 billion/year.
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  • he economic importance of Hawai`i's coral reefs, when combining recreational, amenity, fishery, and biodiversity values, were estimated to have direct economic benefits of $360 million/year
  • Yet coral reefs are in decline due to an increasing array of threats—primarily from global climate change, unsustainable fishing impacts, and land-based pollution.
Benjamin McKeown

Louisiana five years after BP oil spill: 'It's not going back to normal no time soon' |... - 0 views

  • the restaurants are still empty, FOR SALE signs are increasing in store windows, people are still moving away, and this marina on Pointe a la Hache – once packed most afternoons with oystermen bringing in their catch on their small boats, high school kids earning a few bucks unloading the sacks, and 18-wheelers backed up by the dozen to carry them away – is completely devoid of life, save one man, 69-year-old Clarence Duplessis, who cleans his boat to pass the time.
  • While some phenomena in the Gulf – people getting sick, fishing nets coming back empty – are hard to definitively pin on BP – experts say the signs of ecological and economic loss that followed the spill are deeply concerning for the future of the Gulf. Meanwhile, BP has pushed back hard on the notion that the effects of its disaster are much to worry about, spending millions on PR and commercials to convince Gulf residents everything will be OK.
  • the Gulf is recovering faster than expected,” Geoff Morrell, a BP senior vice-president for communications, said in an email.
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  • depleted oyster beds could be due to a variety of factors other than the spill – including the divergence of fresh water from the Mississippi into coastal marshes.
  • Anxiety seems to be the most prevalent emotion in this part of the state. Every cough and every cancer screening, every paltry catch and shrimp missing an eye raises the question – is it BP?
  • oystermen say their catches plummeted after the spill, and have only been getting worse.
  • In total, BP has so far spent $27bn in economic claims, its disaster response efforts, fines to various governments, and cleanup and restoration programs.
  • The company has been sued by dozens of entities since the Deepwater Horizon spill, including state, local and federal governments, and individuals claiming economic loss. It has so far agreed to pay $4.5 billion in fines and plead guilty to a host of criminal charges, including felony manslaughter.
  • total just under $10 billion to businesses suffering because of the spill, but has fought the interpretation of that agreement at every step, claiming it it too easy for businesses without any proof of the spill directly causing damage to their bottom lines to win claims. The Supreme Court recently rejected BP’s bid to hear their challenge to that case.
  • the average claim for his association’s members ranged from a couple thousand to about $25,000. That, he says, is paltry when compared to the years-long recovery he sees ahead of him.
  • “My Facebook feed is filled with my friends’ pictures of crabs with no eyes, shrimp and crawfish with one eye or things missing,” Misty Fisher, 24, said.
  • Southern Louisiana’s economy hasn’t only been ravaged by the spill, but by multiple hurricanes and the ever-encroaching coastline: Louisiana is losing a football field worth of wetlands every 48 minutes thanks to a combination of global warming and a history of oil companies failing to remediate the canals they dredge for pipelines and oil and gas production.
  • Fisher and her fellow waitresses say they all know people who are sick – respiratory infections, breast cancers, constant headaches – which they blame on the spill.
Benjamin McKeown

Non-UK born residents likely to exceed 8 million in latest figures, thinktank says | UK... - 0 views

  • he number of people living in Britain who were born abroad is likely to exceed 8 million for the first time when the latest official figures are published this week, according to an Oxford University thinktank.
  • latest estimate of net migration – the flow of migrants in and out of the UK – could break the previous record of 320,000 set in 2005, shortly after eight eastern European countries, including Poland, joined the EU.
  • migration was estimated to stand at 318,000 – just 2,000 below the highest level previously recorded in 2005
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  • A better yardstick to watch for on Thursday could be the number of people who live in Britain but who retain a non-British nationality.
  • The number of non-UK born residents gives only a partial picture of recent migration and integration trends, because it is a cumulative figure stretching back over decades.
  • “The prevalence of migration to the UK is therefore by no means unprecedented by European standards,”
  • From an economic perspective immigration brings both costs and benefits and affects different people in different ways, leaving no objective method of deciding what the ‘right number’ of migrants is. Different demographic, economic and political arguments can be marshalled in favour of either increasing or reducing immigration, and reasonable people will disagree,” it says.
Benjamin McKeown

Europe needs many more babies to avert a population disaster | World news | The Guardian - 0 views

  • “We have provinces in Spain where for every baby born, more than two people die. And the ratio is moving closer to one to three.”
  • Spain has one of the lowest fertility rates in the EU, with an average of 1.27 children born for every woman of childbearing age, compared to the EU average of 1.55.
  • hundreds of thousands of Spaniards and migrants leave in the hope of finding jobs abroad.
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  • The result is that, since 2012, Spain’s population has been shrinking.
  • The paradox is that as police and security forces battle to keep them at bay
  • Record numbers of economic migrants and asylum-seekers are seeking to enter the European Union this summer and are risking their lives in the attempt
  • In Portugal, the population has been shrinking since 2010.
  • Portugal’s population could drop from 10.5 million to 6.3 million by 2060.
  • In Italy the retired population is soaring, with the proportion of over-65s set to rise from 2.7% last year to 18.8% in 2050.
  • Germany has the lowest birthrate in the world: 8.2 per 1,000 population between 2008 and 2013,
  • On average, Britain’s population grew at a faster rate over the last decade than it has done over the last 50 years.
  • a direct threat to economic growth as well as pensions, healthcare and social services.
  • the grey vote.
  • “During the same time frame, expenditures on pensions rose by more than 40%. We’re moving closer to being a gerontocratic society – it’s a government of the old.”
  • In 2012, the regional government launched a multi-pronged initiative to address the falling fertility rate, with plans to roll out measures such as home and transport subsidies for families and radio advertisements urging women to have more children.
  • The region of Galicia is one of the few in Spain that has addressed the issue.
  • “these issues will only be solved by a miracle.”
  • ack of financial security that prompts many Italians to live with their parents well into their 30s. The difficulty for mothers to return to the workplace also means women must make considerable sacrifices if they decide to have children.
  • give low-income couples a monthly “baby bonus” of €80
  • The youth jobless rate hit 44.2% in June, while overall it stood at 12.3%.
  • By 2060 the government expects the population to plunge from 81 million to 67 million,
  • In order to offset this shortage, Germany needs to welcome an average of 533,000 immigrants every year, which perhaps gives context to the estimate that 800,000 refugees are due to come to Germany this year.
  • Only Scandinavia appears to be weathering the demographic storm with any success, partly thanks to generous parental leave systems, stable economies, and, in the cases of Sweden and Norway, high net immigration.
  • n Sweden it is possible to combine motherhood with a working life,”
Benjamin McKeown

Bold steps: Japan's remedy for a rapidly aging society - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • Ms. Shimamura worked part-time in a hotel for years, and at the age of 65 began working full-time as a janitor – retiring only when she was 85.
  • long-term-care insurance program
  • Here, she has food, shelter, scheduled activities and the attentive care of a Filipino health care worker.
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  • hospital's long-term-care ward
  • Japanese leaders have made radical changes to the way health care is delivered in recent decades, most notably with the introduction of long-term-care insurance in 2000. The system is far from perfect, but Japan has been unafraid to improve the system as they learned its faults, and as an economic boom gave way to zero growth.
  • ut Japan's government, businesses and society are facing these challenges earlier than others, allowing the world to learn and benefit from their stumbles, innovations and experiments.
  • 5 per cent of Japan's population is currently over the age of 65,
  • where the hospital says there are no trainee nurses.
  • this demographic is forecast to make up a full 40 per cent of the country's population by 2060
  • 2010 and 2060, the percentage of Japanese citizens over the age of 75 will more than double from 11 per cent to 27 per cent
  • he absolute number of old people will soon level off in Japan, but the proportion of the population who are young is declining rapidly: The percentage of Japanese younger than 19 years old, who constituted 40 per cent of the population in 1960, will decline to just 13 per cent in 2060.
  • apan's total population peaked in 2010 at around 127 million people and has already begun to decline. In 2014, the country lost a record 268,000 people, as deaths continued to outstrip births.
  • ging society is a reality, as well as a business opportunity.
  • Lawson Inc.,
  • "seniors' salon" with a blood pressure monitor, pamphlets on municipal health care services and nursing homes, and on-staff social workers.
  • he store also has a special section featuring adult diapers, special wipes for bathing the elderly, straw cups, a gargling basin and detergent that is tough on urine and perfect for bed mats and wheelchair coverings. Staff will also deliver heavier items, such as bags of rice or water, to local residents.
  • Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's administration is concerned about how Japan's aging and shrinking work force will slow down the national economy. One piece of Mr. Abe's so-called Abenomics revival program – which also includes getting more women in the workplace – is an emphasis on new medical technologies, including experimental regenerative medicine and cell therapy. The hope is that with two new acts governing regenerative medicine to help commercialize technologies more quickly, the Japanese government can save money on future health care costs while spurring the creation of a valuable new industry – particularly in bio-medical hubs such as the one in Kobe, which features a gleaming new mini-city of medical buildings, research centres and hospitals on a man-made island near the port city's airport.
  • macro level, Japan's predicament is prosperity, which is always followed by lower fertility rates and higher life expectancy. At 83.4 years, Japan has the longest life expectancy at birth in the world, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Many Japanese people are also fearful of the type of immigration that has sustained slow population growth in the industrialized West.
  • The elderly in Japan, similar to seniors across Asia, are less likely to live with their children
  • women, after decades of opting out of a career after giving birth, are also being encouraged by the government to re-enter the work force, something that may eventually help boost Japan's declining labour numbers, as the government hopes, but also prevents women from acting as caregivers.
  • small baby boom "echo" took place between 1971 and 1974
  • Liberal Democratic Party to expand the country's health care system as Japan aged, but by the 1990s, the enormous price tag raised the spectre of tax hikes.
  • Japan chose to supplement its national pension plan with long-term-care insurance (LTCI), which was implemented in 2000.
  • one of the most generous long-term-care systems in the world in terms of coverage and benefits."
  • People pay into the system starting in their 40s and are eligible to receive benefits starting at 65, or earlier in the case of illness.
  • assigns the person a care level.
  • allowing the patient to choose between competing institutions and service providers offering everything from home visits, bathing and help getting groceries to paying for short stays in hospitals or long-term residence in nursing homes and specialized group homes for dementia patients.
  • The LTCI system covers up to $2,900 a month in services, as opposed to cash payment, and does require "co-payments" from patients. LTCI co-payments are capped or waived for low-income individuals, and the system saves money by providing options other than full-on institutionalization.
  • has demonstrated to other governments around the world that it pays to adjust programs before problems become systemic.
  • The LTCI system was originally designed to alleviate the strain on family caregivers, but that hasn't entirely happened. Research shows that LTCI, in terms of freeing up family carers to work and have more free time for themselves, has only marginally benefited caregivers, and only then from wealthier families.
Benjamin McKeown

Water, Food and Energy | UN-Water - 0 views

  •  
    "The water-food-energy nexus is central to sustainable development. Demand for all three is increasing, driven by a rising global population, rapid urbanization, changing diets and economic growth. Agriculture is the largest consumer of the world's freshwater resources, and more than one-quarter of the energy used globally is expended on food production and supply. The inextricable linkages between these critical domains require a suitably integrated approach to ensuring water and food security, and sustainable agriculture and energy production worldwide."
Benjamin McKeown

US trade war would make world 'poorer and more dangerous' - BBC News - 0 views

  • Most recently, China announced new trade tariffs on $60bn of US goods, including products such as liquefied natural gas, produced in states loyal to the US President Donald Trump.
  • There will be great and fast economic retaliation against China if our farmers, ranchers and/or industrial workers are targeted!" he said. US tariffs on $200bn of Chinese imports came into effect last month.
  • n this worst case scenario, the US economy would take a significant hit, while economic growth in China would drop below 5% in 2019, compared with a current prediction of 6.2%
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  • impose a 25% on all imported cars
  • While the IMF said UK interest rate rises would need to rise over the next few years to keep a lid on inflation,
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