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Benjamin McKeown

Europe needs many more babies to avert a population disaster | World news | The Guardian - 0 views

  • “We have provinces in Spain where for every baby born, more than two people die. And the ratio is moving closer to one to three.”
  • Spain has one of the lowest fertility rates in the EU, with an average of 1.27 children born for every woman of childbearing age, compared to the EU average of 1.55.
  • hundreds of thousands of Spaniards and migrants leave in the hope of finding jobs abroad.
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  • The result is that, since 2012, Spain’s population has been shrinking.
  • The paradox is that as police and security forces battle to keep them at bay
  • Record numbers of economic migrants and asylum-seekers are seeking to enter the European Union this summer and are risking their lives in the attempt
  • In Portugal, the population has been shrinking since 2010.
  • Portugal’s population could drop from 10.5 million to 6.3 million by 2060.
  • In Italy the retired population is soaring, with the proportion of over-65s set to rise from 2.7% last year to 18.8% in 2050.
  • Germany has the lowest birthrate in the world: 8.2 per 1,000 population between 2008 and 2013,
  • On average, Britain’s population grew at a faster rate over the last decade than it has done over the last 50 years.
  • a direct threat to economic growth as well as pensions, healthcare and social services.
  • the grey vote.
  • “During the same time frame, expenditures on pensions rose by more than 40%. We’re moving closer to being a gerontocratic society – it’s a government of the old.”
  • In 2012, the regional government launched a multi-pronged initiative to address the falling fertility rate, with plans to roll out measures such as home and transport subsidies for families and radio advertisements urging women to have more children.
  • The region of Galicia is one of the few in Spain that has addressed the issue.
  • “these issues will only be solved by a miracle.”
  • ack of financial security that prompts many Italians to live with their parents well into their 30s. The difficulty for mothers to return to the workplace also means women must make considerable sacrifices if they decide to have children.
  • give low-income couples a monthly “baby bonus” of €80
  • The youth jobless rate hit 44.2% in June, while overall it stood at 12.3%.
  • By 2060 the government expects the population to plunge from 81 million to 67 million,
  • In order to offset this shortage, Germany needs to welcome an average of 533,000 immigrants every year, which perhaps gives context to the estimate that 800,000 refugees are due to come to Germany this year.
  • Only Scandinavia appears to be weathering the demographic storm with any success, partly thanks to generous parental leave systems, stable economies, and, in the cases of Sweden and Norway, high net immigration.
  • n Sweden it is possible to combine motherhood with a working life,”
Benjamin McKeown

The Brussels attack is giving way to a terrible isolationist sentiment. - 0 views

  • nstead of calling for solidarity against a common threat, a spokesman for the anti-European U.K. Independence Party declared that the open borders of Europe “are a threat to our security,” even though the U.K. is not part of Europe’s Schengen border treaty.  A columnist for the Daily Telegraph declared Brussels the “jihadist capital of Europe,” and mocked those who call for staying in the EU on the grounds of safety. Meanwhile, American news organizations fell over themselves to get instant reactions from Donald Trump, who had just told the Washington Post that he didn’t see the point of NATO, which “is costing us a fortune.” He didn’t disappoint: “[W]e have to be very careful and very vigilant as to who we allow in this country.”
  • “my country will be safer” if it pulls out of its international alliances is growing.
  • the illogical idea
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  • Every terrorist attack on U.K. soil in recent memory was carried out by British (or Irish) citizens and not foreigners; nuclear deterrence requires allies and coordinated responses; barbed wire cannot stop a cyberattack. The small-minded, short-sighted isolationists ignore reason and logic, instead substituting panic and fear.
  • Of course there are reasons for this change: German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s disastrous decision to apparently “invite” Syrian immigrants into Europe last summer has left many Europeans feeling queasy and out of control.
  • The only way to fight jihadism is through our existing military, economic, and political alliances
  • And the only way to ensure that we have international support in the future, when a tragedy takes place on our soil—and it will—is to offer our support for a tragedy unfolding on allied soil right now. 
Benjamin McKeown

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Benjamin McKeown

Non-UK born residents likely to exceed 8 million in latest figures, thinktank says | UK... - 0 views

  • he number of people living in Britain who were born abroad is likely to exceed 8 million for the first time when the latest official figures are published this week, according to an Oxford University thinktank.
  • latest estimate of net migration – the flow of migrants in and out of the UK – could break the previous record of 320,000 set in 2005, shortly after eight eastern European countries, including Poland, joined the EU.
  • migration was estimated to stand at 318,000 – just 2,000 below the highest level previously recorded in 2005
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  • A better yardstick to watch for on Thursday could be the number of people who live in Britain but who retain a non-British nationality.
  • The number of non-UK born residents gives only a partial picture of recent migration and integration trends, because it is a cumulative figure stretching back over decades.
  • “The prevalence of migration to the UK is therefore by no means unprecedented by European standards,”
  • From an economic perspective immigration brings both costs and benefits and affects different people in different ways, leaving no objective method of deciding what the ‘right number’ of migrants is. Different demographic, economic and political arguments can be marshalled in favour of either increasing or reducing immigration, and reasonable people will disagree,” it says.
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