In contrast to the OECD countries, hydroelectric power is expected to be
the predominant source of renewable energy growth in the non-OECD nations.
Strong growth of hydroelectric generation, primarily from mid- to large-scale
power plants, is expected in China, India, Brazil, Vietnam, and Laos. Growth
rates for wind-powered electricity generation also are expected to be high
in the non-OECD countries, with the largest increment in China, which accounts
for 88 percent of the total increase in non-OECD wind generation. From
2 billion kilowatthours in 2006, generation from wind plants in China increases
to 315 billion kilowatthours in 2030. Still, the total increase in China’s
wind-powered generation is only about one-half the expected increase in
the country’s hydroelectric generation (Figure 18).