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thinkahol *

Fiscal Fantasies - Paul Krugman Blog - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    It's really amazing to see how quickly the notion that contractionary fiscal policy is actually expansionary is spreading. As I noted yesterday, the Panglossian view has now become official doctrine at the ECB. So what does this view rest on? Partly on vague ideas about credibility and confidence; but largely on the supposed lessons of experience, of countries that saw economic expansion after major austerity programs. Yet if you look at these cases, every one turns out to involve key elements that make it useless as a precedent for our current situation.
thinkahol *

Today's Must-See Animated Capitalist Takedown from RSA and David Harvey | The New York ... - 1 views

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    If you watch just one funny and handsome Marxist critique of the financial crisis, make it the Royal Society for the Encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce's animated version of David Harvey's RSA speech "Crises of Capitalism." It's been making the rounds this afternoon, and for good reason: Mr. Harvey, a Marxist scholar who heads CUNY's Center for Place, Culture & Politics, describes not just the failures that caused the ongoing fiasco, but the failure of how we've explained it.
Giorgio Bertini

Turkey Goes From Pliable Ally to Thorn for U.S. - 0 views

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    For decades, Turkey was one of the United States' most pliable allies, a strategic border state on the edge of the Middle East that reliably followed American policy. But recently, it has asserted a new approach in the region, its words and methods as likely to provoke Washington as to advance its own interests.
Giorgio Bertini

Changing pro-cyclicality for financial and economic stability -- Changing pro-cyclicali... - 0 views

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    Much has been discussed on the root causes for the current financial crisis, including but not limited to lessons on monetary policy, financial sector regulations, accounting rules. This note aims to stimulate debate and discussions on some of the pro-cyclical features in the system, possible remedial measures, and how monetary and fiscal authorities can play their professional roles at times of severe market distress. It also touches upon China's financial sector reform and macroeconomic policy to counter slowdown in economic growth. The major points here were presented at the G20 Meeting of Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in San Paulo, Brazil on November 15, 2008.
Giorgio Bertini

Why the Stimulus Ran Out of Steam - 0 views

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    The faltering recovery and the credibility this has cost the the White House will probably lose the Democrats one or both houses of Congress, making the insufficiency of the stimulus easily the most consequential error for an administration that has done a lot right. To appreciate how it happened, it's necessary to understand the twin imperatives that dominate White House thinking. They usually function in harmony, but on this issue clashed to devastating effect.
Giorgio Bertini

The Specter of Protectionism: World Faces New Wave of Currency Wars - SPIEGEL ONLINE - ... - 0 views

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    An American bill imposing punitive tarifs on countries that undervalue their currencies is set to unleash a new trade war between the US and China. But in fact the whole global currency system is in a state of jeopardy. As confidence in the dollar drops, private investors are putting their faith in gold.
thinkahol *

Economics Is Not A Morality Play - NYTimes.com - 1 views

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    War is bad, but sometimes spending is good.
thinkahol *

The Spanish Prisoner - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    What's striking about Spain, from an American perspective, is how much its economic story resembles our own. Like America, Spain experienced a huge property bubble, accompanied by a huge rise in private-sector debt. Like America, Spain fell into recession when that bubble burst, and has experienced a surge in unemployment. And like America, Spain has seen its budget deficit balloon thanks to plunging revenues and recession-related costs. But unlike America, Spain is on the edge of a debt crisis. The U.S. government is having no trouble financing its deficit, with interest rates on long-term federal debt under 3 percent. Spain, by contrast, has seen its borrowing cost shoot up in recent weeks, reflecting growing fears of a possible future default. Why is Spain in so much trouble? In a word, it's the euro.
thinkahol *

Is QE2 the Road to Zimbabwe-Style Hyperinflation? Not Likely - 0 views

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    Unlike Zimbabwe, the US can easily get the currency it needs without being beholden to anyone. But wouldn't that dilute the value of the currency? No.
thinkahol *

Is Student Debt the Next Front in the Consumer Debt Crisis? « naked capitalism - 0 views

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    The media has been so preoccupied with acute symptoms of the debt crisis - sliding home prices, foreclosure abuses, ongoing Euromarket bank/sovereign debt stress, ongoing battles over financial regulation implementation, unhappiness over the Fed's QE2 - that lingering problems are not getting the attention they deserve. High on the list is the how the weak job market is affecting new college and advanced degree program graduates. We have an unspoken social contract: young people who get an education, particularly a "good" education (which means more elite universities, more serious courses of study, graduate degrees) are supposed to be rewarded by higher lifetime earnings. And the prospect of higher lifetime earnings in turn makes it rational to borrow to invest in education. But this whole premise has started to go awry, and the huge uptick in unemployment has started to make matters worse.
thinkahol *

New Rules for Hot Money by Nouriel Roubini - Project Syndicate - 0 views

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    When justified by economic fundamentals, a currency's exchange rate should be allowed to rise gradually. But when a currency's appreciation is triggered by capital inflows that represent the asset-diversification preferences of advanced-economy investors, it can and should be resisted.
thinkahol *

FT.com / Comment / Opinion - Ireland should leave the euro - 0 views

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    Ireland's government has avoided immediate disaster by mustering just enough votes to pass its emergency budget. But now it must decide what to do next. Here, €6bn ($9.4bn) in new austerity measures are unlikely to be enough to put it back on the right path. Instead a more radical option should be seriously considered: leaving the euro.
Giorgio Bertini

A Greek Test: Euro Fears Force Merkel To Act - 0 views

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    Knowing a bailout for Athens would be unpopular, Chancellor Angela Merkel wanted to postpone taking action on the Greek crisis until a key state election on May 9. But financial markets don't care about domestic German politics. Her delay could end up costing the country billions.
Giorgio Bertini

Credit rating agencies under a harsh spotlight again - 0 views

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    European politicians are fuming over the US credit ratings agencies and their role in various financial crises. But some experts say it was governments who allowed rating firms to gain too much power in the first place.
Giorgio Bertini

Five forces reshaping global economy: Global Survey results - McKinsey Quarterly - 1 views

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    The core drivers of globalization are alive and well, but executives are still grappling with how to seize the opportunities of an interlinked world economy.
Giorgio Bertini

Hesitation and Patronizing Advice: How Germany Made the Greek Crisis Worse - 0 views

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    The Greeks are mainly responsible for their current predicament. But the German government has made the country's situation worse with its lectures and reluctance to provide assistance. Chancellor Angela Merkel is mainly to blame for the fact that German taxpayers now have to suffer.
Giorgio Bertini

Merkel Reaches Her Overdraft Limit: Greek Bailout Could Push German Debt Through the Roof - 0 views

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    When Chancellor Angela Merkel's current government came into power, Germany was just emerging from the economic crisis. But despite pledges to curb deficit spending, Merkel's administration has been running up debt at a record pace -- and bailing out Greece will only exacerbate the situation.
Giorgio Bertini

The Mother of All Bubbles: Huge National Debts Could Push Euro Zone into Bankruptcy - 0 views

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    Greece is only the beginning. The world's leading economies have long lived beyond their means, and the financial crisis caused government debt to swell dramatically. Now the bill is coming due, but not all countries will be able to pay it.
Giorgio Bertini

Red China, Green China - 0 views

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    China is busy turning the global challenge of climate change into a national opportunity, but it needs another decade to advance its technology to the point where superior manufacturing and lower costs will secure its dominance of the clean-tech sector. By giving China more time to develop its capacity while neglecting our own, America is not just losing the clean-tech race, it's forfeiting it.
Giorgio Bertini

Harmony and Ambition: China's Cut-Throat Railway Revolution - 0 views

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    China is spending mountains of money to expand its country's high-speed railway network and manufacture the world's fastest trains. But do its ambitions in the railway sector justify how these goals are being pursued -- and the risks they might ultimately pose?
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