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wmaley

The Grand Strategy Obama Needs - NYTimes.com - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...rand-strategy-obama-needs.html

Russia and Ukraine Obama ISIS strategy solution sustainable conflict

shared by wmaley on 10 Sep 14 - No Cached
  • his effort this week to seem more muscular relies so much on a military solution that it risks a broader military entanglement.
    • wmaley
      wmaley on 10 Sep 14
       
      history is repeating itself
  • look back to 1956
  • ...11 more annotations...
  • he Soviet Union invaded Hungary to crush a revolution while Britain and France, seeking to regain the Suez Canal, collaborated with Israel in a war against Egypt.
  • backed away from challenging the Soviet suppression of Hungary, then forced America’s European allies into an ignominious retreat from Egypt.
  • Eisenhower had a larger goal — not upsetting the delicate balance of power in the Cold War. Above all, he sought to avoid greater conflict, especially when he was trying to start arms control talks with Moscow.
    • wmaley
      wmaley on 10 Sep 14
       
      it was better in the long run to think ahead rather than solving the problem temporarily. 
  • Today’s Russian menace and Islamic State horrors are threats to be sure, but largely because Ukraine, Syria, Iraq and other potential targets all contain within them ethnic groups and sects fighting over power and influence.
  • Both trace to political fragmentation in weak states living within unsettled borders. That leaves those states prone to internal dissent, and America’s recent minimalist posture has given these brewing troubles room to explode into crises.
  • rallying allies into coalitions that would ultimately share in managing peace and security. Which is where a sound strategy lies.
  • America’s allies will play that game, but only if they are sure we have a strategy and the staying power to see it through.
  • American grand strategy should identify these weak countries before they turn on themselves;
  • American policy today sees the world in fragments
  • So Mr. Obama’s big challenge is to help weak states reconcile, compromise and unite, and thus deny enemies a chance to start civil wars.
allypeterka

The Iraq-ISIS Conflict in Maps, Photos and Video - NYTimes.com - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...-in-maps-photos-and-video.html

shared by allypeterka on 10 Sep 14 - No Cached
  • the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria controls territory greater than many countries and now rivals Al Qaeda as the world’s most powerful jihadist group
  • The United Nations estimates that militants with the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria have forced nearly 180,000 families — or more than a million people — from their homes in Iraq
kthomsen2017

Arabs Give Tepid Support to U.S. Fight Against ISIS - NYTimes.com - 1 views

www.nytimes.com/...-to-us-fight-against-isis.html

ISIS

shared by kthomsen2017 on 14 Sep 14 - No Cached
  • allies like Egypt, Jordan and Turkey all finding ways on Thursday to avoid specific commitments to President Obama’s expanded military campaign against Sunni extremists.
    • kthomsen2017
      kthomsen2017 on 14 Sep 14
       
      Can they still be allies if they go back on their commitment to the U.S.A?
  • first American strikes inside Syria crackled through the region, the mixed reactions underscored the challenges of a new military intervention in the Middle East, where 13 years of chaos, from Sept. 11 through the Arab Spring revolts, have deepened political and sectarian divisions and increased mistrust of the United States on all sides.
  • The tepid support could further complicate the already complex task Mr. Obama has laid out for himself in fighting the extremist Islamic State in Iraq and Syria:
  • ...20 more annotations...
  • He must try to confront the group without aiding Syria’s president, Bashar al-Assad, or appearing to side with Mr. Assad’s Shiite allies, Iran and the militant group Hezbollah, against discontented Sunnis across the Arab world.
  • While Arab nations allied with the United States vowed on Thursday to “do their share” to fight ISIS and issued a joint communiqué supporting a broad strategy, the underlying tone was one of reluctance.
  • Syria and the United States were “fighting the same enemy,” terrorism, and that his government had “no reservations” about airstrikes as long as the United States coordinated with it
  • Egypt’s hands were full with its own fight against “terrorism,” referring to the Islamist opposition.
  • Turkey, which Mr. Kerry will visit on Friday, is concerned about attacks across its long border with ISIS-controlled Syria, and also about 49 Turkish government employees captured by the group in Iraq
  • an official advised not to expect public support for the American effort.
  • at least 10 Arab states signed a communiqué pledging to join “in the many aspects of a coordinated military campaign,” but with the qualification “as appropriate” and without any specifics.
  • Turkey attended the meeting but declined to sign.
  • in Baghdad and across Syria, where the threat from ISIS is immediate, reactions were mixed
  • But many Sunni Muslims were cynical about battling an organization that evolved from jihadist groups fighting American occupation.
  • Members of Iraq’s Shiite majority cheered the prospect of American help.
  • ISIS has avowed enemies on both sides of the region’s Sunni-Shiite divide.
  • For Shiites, whom ISIS views as apostates deserving death, the group poses an existential threat, yet Shiite-led Iran, a longtime foe of the United States, is excluded from the coalition.
  • Egypt and Syria, revolts that Sunni Islamists saw as their chance at power have been rolled back or brutally thwarted.
  • “The Sunnis need to feel that they have a voice in their capitals,” said Ibrahim Hamidi,
  • “Otherwise, you push more Sunnis toward ISIS.”
  • But that, he said, would require fancy footwork from Mr. Obama to “make it clear this is about American security, not about favoring any side in the Syrian civil conflict.”
  • Mr. Crocker said American attacks would “get people’s attention in Raqqa and elsewhere,”
  • Members of a range of Syrian insurgent groups that consider ISIS an enemy said they, too, opposed American strikes unless they also targeted the government.
  • And even those most supportive of the strikes — members of the American-vetted groups that stand to gain new aid to fight ISIS — complained that the United States had abetted the extremists’ rise by failing to help other insurgents earlier. They said the United States was attacking ISIS now only because the group threatened it as well as the broader world.
andie324

Most Russian Forces Now Out of Ukraine, Kiev Says - NYTimes.com - 0 views

www.nytimes.com/...voices-hope-on-cease-fire.html

Europe Political

shared by andie324 on 10 Sep 14 - No Cached
  • the bulk of Russian forces had withdrawn from Ukrainian territory,
    • andie324
      andie324 on 10 Sep 14
       
      Russian forces have left Ukraine.
  • Mr. Poroshenko appeared to be trying to create a sense of momentum around the peace process, even though a final outcome remains the subject of arduous negotiations. The very law he discussed, for example, has been the source of widely different interpretations.
    • andie324
      andie324 on 10 Sep 14
       
      The truce between Russia and Ukraine is not set in stone yet. There is still potential for open conflict.
  • She also stressed that the path to solving the Ukraine crisis would be “long and rocky.”
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • Mr. Poroshenko, who is due to meet with President Obama in Washington on Sept. 18, also said he would introduce a law as early as next week that would grant parts of the breakaway regions of Donetsk and Luhansk temporary self-rule.
    • andie324
      andie324 on 10 Sep 14
       
      Sections of Ukraine want to be self-ruled as individual states. 
gracegriffin

U.N.'s Ban urges Assad to seek political solution to Syria crisis | Reuters - 0 views

www.reuters.com/...risis-un-idUSKBN0H50OM20140910

politics syria crisis solution

shared by gracegriffin on 10 Sep 14 - No Cached
  • U.N.'s Ban urges Assad to seek political solution to Syria crisis
  • U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon urged President Bashar al-Assad to seek a political solution to Syria's war, saying this would help international efforts against Islamic State militants in Syria and Iraq, al-Hayat newspaper reported on Wednesday.
  • In an interview with the pan-Arab daily, Ban said years of war between Assad's forces and armed rebel groups had allowed militants such as Islamic State to take root in the region.
  • ...12 more annotations...
  • Asked whether Assad would have any role to play in an international coalition being assembled to fight Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, the U.N. chief said Assad could contribute by working politically towards an end to the war in his country.
  • slamic State, a militarily-powerful al Qaeda offshoot that wants to create a jihadist hub in the heart of the Arab world, has made rapid territorial gains in both Iraq and Syria in recent months that have alarmed regional and Western powers.
  • when Assad was sworn in for a new term as president, he vowed to recover all Syria from Islamist insurgents and dismissed the Syrian opposition abroad as traitors. But he also said he would be willing to work with the country's internal opposition, without giving details.
  • The United States has carried out weeks of air strikes against Islamic State targets in Iraq, but the outlook for U.S. air raids in Syria is much less clear.
  • While Iraq's government welcomed the role of U.S. warplanes to attack the militants, Assad has warned that any strikes conducted without his country's permission would be considered an act of aggression, potentially plunging any U.S.-led coalition into a broader conflict with Syria.
  • OPPOSING SIDES
  • "But it is important that the international community is united and shows strong support for any action that has to be taken to root out this terrorism."
  • Assad's military has stepped up air strikes
  • which controls about a third of Syria's territory
  • International and regional powers have backed opposing sides in the civil war, with Russia and Iran supporting Assad and Western powers and Gulf Arab states largely backing the rebels.
  • Ban also said a U.N. Security Council decision to support military action against Islamic State would be "an excellent and an appropriate way" to deal with the group but that its brutal killings were why, "some countries took some military action," in a reference to U.S. air strikes in Iraq.
  • U.S. President Barack Obama is expected on Wednesday to outline a plan to deal with Islamic State. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry arrived in Baghdad as he began a tour of the Middle East to build military, political and financial support to defeat the militants.
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