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Duncan Innes

BBC News - Exploring the Bank of England - 0 views

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    A short info video on the bank of england
josh mower

BBC News - Could Greece be Europe's Lehman Brothers? - 0 views

  • Could Greece be Europe's Lehman Brothers?
  • Three years ago today, US Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson made a momentous decision - to let the investment bank Lehman Brothers fail. The US government had helped to rescue a string of financial institutions, but markets kept pushing more to the wall. Mr Paulson was running out of time and options. There was no political support in Washington to keep throwing money at the problem. Wall Street would just have to learn to bear the consequences of its own folly. Today, many say that it was the wrong decision. The resulting financial meltdown (the stock market plummeted 43%) forced the authorities to do exactly what they had been trying to avoid - commit trillions of dollars to rescue the financial system.
  • Now fast-forward to the present. The "troika" of lenders to Greece - the European Union, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and European Central Bank (ECB) - may soon face a similar moment of reckoning.
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  • The government in Athens has consistently failed to cut its overspending as much as promised, and keeps coming back for more money. The Greeks complain that spending cuts demanded by the troika are killing their economy, which in turn pushes their tax revenues down, stoking the need to borrow yet more.
  • Would they really pull the plug on Greece to make an example of it? Or, with daily protests on the streets of Athens, could Greece itself walk away from the table? And if so, would it trigger another global meltdown?
  • Certainly it would be irrational for Greece to stop playing ball. Cut off from the troika's bailouts, the country cannot borrow. But even if it stopped paying its debts, Greece would still face enormous pain. Last year the government borrowed the equivalent of 10.5% of annual economic output, just to fund general government spending.
  • That overspend would have to stop immediately - far worse austerity than the troika demands. The Greek banks would also collapse, bereft of outside support. Having crossed the Rubicon of unilateral default, many economists believe the Greeks would leave the euro altogether. One reason is the need to devalue its currency to restore competitiveness. "Greece needs to move its exchange rate by at least 30% to have any chance of getting jobs back," says Mr Booth. Another is that the Greek central bank could then fund the government's continued borrowing with freshly-printed drachmas. But inflation would soar, and imports especially would become very expensive
  • That threatened a chain reaction of bankruptcies, which in turn caused a collapse of confidence throughout the financial system.
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    If Greece defaults would it lead to another recession?
Duncan Innes

Bernanke could be repeating Greenspan's gaffes | Business | The Guardian - 0 views

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    Three big questions arise from the decision by the Federal Reserve tonight to pump an extra $600bn (£372bn) into the US economy through the policy known as quantitative easing. Why is America's central bank taking this action? What are the likely consequences? How will the rest of the world respond?
Duncan Innes

BBC News - Grameen Bank founder Muhammad Yunus quits top post - 1 views

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    Grameen Bank founder retires
Duncan Innes

BBC News - Mark Carney adjusts Bank interest rate policy - 1 views

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    New interest rate policy video
Duncan Innes

US Federal Reserve launches new round of quantitative easing | Business | The Guardian - 0 views

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    America's central bank announced that it would pump an additional $600bn (£372bn) into the ailing US economy over the next eight months in an attempt to accelerate growth and cut unemployment
Duncan Innes

Ireland is having a Lehmans moment | Business | The Guardian - 0 views

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    Visdeo and Column neatly summing up the Irish crisis and drawing parallels with the Lehman Brothers and the banking crisis
Duncan Innes

Bank of England's Mervyn King: This is the biggest squeeze on families since 1920s | Ma... - 0 views

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    Daily Mail alarmist but accessible assessment of the macro economic picture in early 2011
Duncan Innes

FT.com / Asia-Pacific - Bangladesh caps microfinance rates at 27% - 1 views

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    With no rural banks - a welcome cap of 27% has been put on Microfinance. Will it be enforced - is 27% still too much and will the poor remain in a circle of debt trap?
Duncan Innes

European Debt Crisis: Who Loaned PIIGS the Money? - 0 views

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    Interesting debt graphic
Duncan Innes

Inflation fears send shares sliding - Business News, Business - The Independent - 0 views

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    Reasons behind October 2010 Inflation rise.
Duncan Innes

Households Pay a Price for China's Growth - NYTimes.com - 0 views

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    Fascinating article explaining why the Wests hope for a Chinese consumer boom may be a pipe dream
Duncan Innes

Euro touches a nine-year low against US dollar - 0 views

  • The drop follows ECB president Mario Draghi's comments indicating the bank could soon start quantitative easing.
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    Possible QE in eurozone? jan 15
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