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The annual growth of productivity in the British economy increased by only 0.8% in 2005 the slowest growth since the recession year of 1990. There are many reasons for this sluggish growth of productivity. Part of the reason was the slowdown in growth in 2005 because output and output per worker tend to be positively correlated. In an economy where demand and output is weaker, people in work are not being used as intensively compared to when the economy is stronger. Deeper-rooted explanations for weak productivity performance focus on supply-side deficiencies. These include the effects of skills gaps in industry; and the transfer of the economy's resources into the public sector where productivity is lower. Other factors contributing to sluggish productivity growth include the effects of business red tape and a persistently low rate of spending on research and development.Low productivity growth means that little progress has been made in reducing the productivity gap that exists between the UK and most of her major competitors.

Overall the rise in VAT is likely to cause higher inflation, reduced GDP growth and some job losses in 2011 and into 2012 - so some deterioration in three microeconomic indicators at the expense of improved government finances. But in the long term a 20% VAT rate is unlikely to have any noticeable effect on UK competitiveness and growth. The long-term trend GDP is driven by supply side factors such as technological progress, working age population growth, improved work and enterprise incentives and the scale and quality of capital investment spending).