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Dominic S

Governments can't make deficits do the dirty work for them - 0 views

  • In Ottawa, members of the cabinet subcommittee overseeing the Strategic and Operating Review are said to be sifting through more than 600 proposals for savings, with a view to trimming $4 billion from spending over the next three years.
  • Because yes, it was those same governments who now plead they have no money to spend who couldn't spend it fast enough before all this. From fiscal 2006 through 2010, the Harper government increased program spending by 40 per cent, from $175 billion to $245 billion. Per person spending increased from $5,800 in constant 2010 dollars to $7,200. The McGuinty government's record was nearly as profligate - a 61-per-cent increase in spending, from fiscal 2004 through 2011 - enabled to no small degree by the more than doubling of federal transfers in that time.
Sam Tang

Shortchanging immigrants costs Canada - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • Canada has a well-documented history of attracting the best and brightest immigrants from developing countries. But many of these people wind up jobless, or in minimum-wage survival jobs. And there’s a wider economic cost to the country of under-utilizing these skilled workers.
  • The study finds that if immigrants’ skills were rewarded in a similar way to that of Canadian-born workers, the increase in their incomes would amount to $30.7-billion – or the equivalent of 2.1 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product.
  • “If we are going to continue to flourish and grow as a country, we’ve got to be very receptive to foreign capital, to foreign thinking and to foreign skills to maximize our potential,” Gordon Nixon
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  • Canada squandering its own growth potential because it delays the ability of newcomers to put down roots by buying homes, saving for their children’s education or investing for retirement.“If you look at what drives the real-estate market, what drives consumer spending – unemployment and wealth and incomes [are] key drivers in terms of that, so it filters right across the economy,” said Mr. Nixon.
  • Employment tumbled 12.9 per cent among new immigrants in the downturn, led by a slump in factory jobs, compared with a 2.2-per-cent drop for Canadian-born workers, Statistics Canada figures show.
  • As of November, the jobless rate among Canadian-born workers was 6.3 per cent, compared with 8.4 per cent for all landed immigrants and 13.4 per cent for recent immigrants, according to Statistics Canada.
  • Canadian society will pay a steep price if new immigrants continue to struggle with underemployment and a yawning wage gap.
  • “We need immigrants,” said John Tory, the former Rogers Communications executive and past leader of the Ontario Progressive Conservative Party, in a recent speech. “We need them in our work force, we need them to sustain and expand not only the labour market, but our consumer market as well.
  • Consumer spending accounts for 60 to 70 per cent of the Canadian economy.
  • Résumés with English-sounding names receive, on average, 35 per cent more callbacks from employers than those with foreign-sounding names, a study this fall by University of Toronto researchers found.
  • In Toronto, a half-year mentoring program that matches newcomers with established professionals has resulted in 70 per cent of them finding work in their fields.
Hulland Bui

Canada's banks may still be best TSX bet for 2012 | Investing | Financial Post - 0 views

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  • In 2011, the worst year for equity investors since the 2008 global meltdown, the overall market fell by 11% while financials were down 7%. Bank stocks were largely flat.
  • Barclays Capital analyst John Aiken forecast an end to the double-digit profit growth that has powered the banks since the financial crisis. Yet less-bearish observers said risks from Europe’s debt crisis and other external threats make banks a wiser investment than more volatile energy and mining stocks. And traditional safe haven plays like telecoms and health care offer little upside after also outperforming the broader market in 2011. Instead of trying to mimic what worked in 2011, investors should look for companies in depressed sectors with good value, such as banks, said Barry Schwartz, a portfolio manager at Baskin Financial Services. “[Pipeline operator] Enbridge is not going to grow at 20% a year,” noted Mr. Schwartz. “However a bank stock could grow at 15% a year and they’re trading at 10 times earnings.” Canadian banks also offer hefty dividends, and did not cut them in the recent recession. Five of Canada’s six big lenders, including Royal Bank of Canada, Bank of Montreal, Bank of Nova Scotia and CIBC have dividend yields of more than 4%. Market veterans said this offers some downside protection if global financial and economic turmoil worsens. “It’s a sign of confidence on the part of Canadian bank management that, regardless of the outlook, they felt that they were in sufficiently good shape to start raising dividends&nbsp; again,” said Gavin Graham, president at Graham Investment Strategy. Toronto stocks got off to a solid start in the first week of 2012, with the composite index rising almost 2% to close at 12,188.64. But gains are expected to be modest this year, with the index reaching just 12,500 by the end of 2012, according to a Reuters poll. Many think problems outside of Canada, especially Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, will impede global growth and demand for commodities. This would hurt more growth-sensitive sectors like mining and energy, which account for more than 40% of Toronto’s composite index. Last year, base metal and energy issues plunged 27% and 17% respectively, adding up to a miserable year for cyclicals after strong performances in 2009 and 2010. Most of the gain from commodities in those years was driven by double-digit growth in China, the world’s largest buyer of industrial metals. But Chinese growth slowed last year, igniting a downward spiral in base metal mining stocks. Despite recent signs that the Chinese economy has steadied and the U.S. economy is picking up steam, eurozone debt worries are expected to dominate in early 2012. Many also expect the gridlock in Congress to worsen as the U.S. presidential election approaches, hurting investor sentiment and compounding the difficulties for resource stocks. Still, analysts said investors should not shun commodity-linked stocks indefinitely. Some think they could rally firmly in late 2012 if concern over Europe eases and the global economy gets back onto strong footing. “To the extent that the market focuses on the U.S., more cyclical names, more consumer-oriented names and more pro-growth names make sense,” said Stephen Wood, chief North American investment strategist at Russell Investments in New York. “Getting overly defensive at very high valuations is not something people want to do.” © Thomson Reuters 2012 Posted in: Economy, Investing, News, Outlook 2012, Trading Desk&nbsp; Tags: Bank of Montreal, banking, Canadian banks, CIBC, dividends, financials, investing, Royal Bank of Canada, the Bank of Nova Scotia, TSX Reuters U.S. Fed officials signal more policy action may be neededGoodman &amp; Co. boosts stake in American ApparelHedge funds take on IMF over Greek debtNot time for 'risky' spending in budget: FlahertyCopper vulnerable to price spikes due to shorts More from Reuters » var npDsqSso = /^[\s\S]*\bdisqus-sso=([^;]+)[\s\S]*$/i.test(document.cookie), npDsq_remote_auth_s3 = 'e30= 4ce72f958bc936ef5001150fc4d4fcef9fc4e256 1326247574', npDsq_api_key = '4ArDk9sCU7Y27T6Ni9ixYD3n90ZSiXdMtCOI9mcHFCEf6gnVGHpnKgereuyCJ3Rn'; Glad you liked it. Would you like to share? Facebook Twitter Share No thanks Sharing this page … Thanks! Close What do you think?Opinions expressed in comments that appear on our site are expressly those of the comment writer and not the Financial Post. Offensive language, personal attacks and unsubstantiated allegations are not allowed and may result in your account being banned. Comments containing links are not permitted. Comment threads are closed after 48 hours. For more information, read our full Terms and Conditions. If you see a typo or error in this story, feel free to <
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  • Instead of trying to mimic what worked in 2011, investors should look for companies in depressed sectors with good value, such as banks, said Barry Schwartz
  • Enbridge is not going to grow at 20% a year,” noted Mr. Schwartz. “However a bank stock could grow at 15% a year and they’re trading at 10 times earnings.”
  • Many think problems outside of Canada, especially Europe’s sovereign debt crisis, will impede global growth and demand for commodities. This would hurt more growth-sensitive sectors like mining and energy, which account for more than 40% of Toronto’s composite index.
  • Last year, base metal and energy issues plunged 27% and 17% respectively, adding up to a miserable year for cyclicals after strong performances in 2009 and 2010.
dayuloveme

Credit card debt falls in 2011 - Business - CBC News - 0 views

  • Despite that improvement and a reduction in consumer bankruptcies last year, overall debt continues to rise — though much more slowly than before.
  • As the economy slows and consumers become more nervous about the future, Canadians are curbing spending and paying down some debts.
  • But he said given that household debt-to-income levels sit at an historic 150 per cent — that means mortgage and other debts are 1.5 times a Canadian household's average income — it would be risky for borrowing to rise further.
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  • He said if debt-to-income ratios flatline and Canada's economy grows, debt levels will naturally come down.
  • They began to take advantage of low interest rates sooner to take on more mortgage and consumer debt, which helped stabilize the Canadian housing market and domestic spending.
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    The improvement of delinquency.
pauleniar

Governments Are The Primary Creators Of Systemic Risk - Forbes - 0 views

  • The government’s debt now totals more than 150% of its GDP, and continues to grow
  • The downgrade reflects the increasing possibility that Greece will restructure its debt by forcing current debt holders to accept longer maturities, or do what demonstrators in the streets of Athens are demanding, which is to force its creditors to take a loss on their loans.
  • However, European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board Member Juergen Stark warns that the effects of restructuring “could overshadow the effects of the Lehman bankruptcy,” which is associated with the beginning of the 2008 financial crisis.
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  • Here’s how it works. Governments require banks to hold capital against the loans that they make, anticipating that in the normal course of business, some of the loans will not be repaid.&nbsp; The riskier the loan, the more capital that needs to be held in reserve.
  • However, under international rules negotiated by government representatives through the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), government loans fit into a special category that has a 0% risk requirement.&nbsp; That means European banks do not have to hold any reserves against loans they make to European governments.&nbsp; That’s right, politicians implicitly promised banks that governments would never default.&nbsp; And, given the opportunity to make “risk free” loans that require no capital commitment, bankers purchased mountains of government debt.
    • pauleniar
       
      Systemic Risk : A crisis that effects the entire economy.
  • the systemic risk created by the political class has put the citizens of Europe on the hook for irresponsible levels of government spending.
  • European debt crisis demonstrates again that the greatest source of systemic risk is believing politicians when they promise government guarantees are costless, and that elite public servants are capable of protecting us from systemic risks in the first place
  • giving governments more power over the economy and financial system is itself a source of potentially catastrophic financial and economic instability.
Cynthia Zheng

Latest release from the Labour Force Survey. Friday, December 2, 2011 - 0 views

  • Following a notable decrease the previous month, employment edged down&nbsp;19,000&nbsp;in November, and the unemployment rate rose by&nbsp;0.1&nbsp;percentage points to&nbsp;7.4%. Despite the recent declines, employment was up&nbsp;1.2% (+212,000) from&nbsp;12&nbsp;months earlier.
  • A decline of&nbsp;53,000&nbsp;in part-time work was partially offset by an increase of&nbsp;35,000&nbsp;in full-time. Compared with a year earlier, the number of part-time workers was down&nbsp;1.9% (-62,000), while full-time employment grew by&nbsp;2.0% (+274,000).
  • Employment declined in Quebec and Saskatchewan in November, while it increased in Nova Scotia. There was little change in the other provinces.
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  • In November, there were employment losses in retail and wholesale trade, as well as business, building and other support services. These losses were partially offset by increases in "other services" (such as personal services and repair and maintenance), as well as in construction; natural resources; and utilities. There were fewer self-employed workers in November (-28,000). Compared with a year earlier, most of the employment growth was among private sector employees (+1.9%), as employment was little changed among public sector employees (+0.4%) and the self-employed (-0.3%).
  • Employment in Quebec fell by&nbsp;31,000&nbsp;in November, pushing the unemployment rate up&nbsp;0.3&nbsp;percentage points to&nbsp;8.0%. The bulk of the decline was in wholesale and retail trade. This month's decrease leaves employment in the province at about the same level as November&nbsp;2010. The only other province with a notable employment decrease in November was Saskatchewan (-4,200). This pushed the unemployment rate in the province up by a full percentage point to&nbsp;5.1%. With this month's decline, employment in Saskatchewan was similar to its level one year earlier. In November, employment increased by&nbsp;4,400&nbsp;in Nova Scotia. Despite this increase, the unemployment rate in the province was unchanged at&nbsp;8.6%, as more people were participating in the labour market.
  • Following a large decline in October, employment in Ontario edged up by&nbsp;17,000&nbsp;in November. At the same time, the unemployment rate declined&nbsp;0.2&nbsp;percentage points to&nbsp;7.9%. Over the past&nbsp;12&nbsp;months, employment in the province has grown by&nbsp;1.5% (+97,000), slightly higher than the national average of&nbsp;1.2%.
  • Employment in Alberta edged up in November, and the unemployment rate was&nbsp;5.0%. Compared with November&nbsp;2010, employment grew faster in Alberta than in any other province, at&nbsp;4.8%.
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    Current Canadian Statistics on unemployment rates both overall and from province to province that can be compared to statistics given by Toronto Star bookmark. Employment fell in Quebec and Saskatchewan while it rose in Nova Scotia. Minimal chnages in other provinces including Ontario where it only rose slightly recovering from the dramatic dip in October. Employment areas that saw an increase were in the construction, natural resource and utilities. Construction contrasted with the previous year since it declined last year but rose this year. This year, a decline was seen in retail, wholesale trade, business, building and various other support services. It seems retail and wholesale trade experienced another downfall which may be another indicator that the economy is not recovering as well if the populous is unwilling to spend money buying everyday luxuries.
iris qiu

Equifax says consumer debt situation better | News Talk 650 CKOM - 1 views

  • TORONTO - Canadians are paying off more of their credit card debt and borrowing less as they cope with a weaker economy and some restrictions on credit expansion
  • The latest national credit trends report from Equifax Canada, released early Tuesday, says the average credit card debt fell in 2011 by 3.4 per cent.
  • Despite that improvement and a reduction in consumer bankruptcies last year, overall debt continues to rise — though much more slowly than before.
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  • As the economy slows and consumers become more nervous about the future, Canadians are curbing spending and paying down some debts.
  • Gordon Nixon, president and CEO at Royal Bank, told a banking conference Tuesday that consumer lending has slowed, dropping to single digit growth from double digit expansion in the last few years
iris qiu

Household debt loads inch higher: StatsCan - Business - CBC News - 0 views

  • The total amount of debt that Canadians hold in relation to their incomes continued to inch higher in the first quarter, Statistics Canada data revealed Monday.
  • The debt-to-income level ticked almost a full percentage point higher to 147.3 per cent in the January to March period, the agency said. The figure is a measure of total debt load — including mortgage and consumer debt — versus disposable income.
  • A decline in durable goods spending pushed consumer credit lower, but stable borrowing costs as well as higher housing resale and renovation activities pushed mortgage debt higher, the agency said.
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  • The debt loads of Canadians increased in the first quarter, but at the same time, their net worth also went up. Household net worth increased by one per cent to $6.3 trillion. That comes on the heels of a 2.4 per cent increase in the previous quarter.
  • Strong gains in the housing market explains much of the increase, but financial assets also appreciated. The benchmark S&amp;P/TSX Composite Index gained 5.1 per cent during the quarter.
Ilnar Ulan Uulu

Where Your Tax Dollar Goes - Fiscal Year 2005-06 - report with charts - 0 views

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    By the end of fiscal year in 2006, Canadian federal government collected $222.2 billion in taxes and other revenues, which is over 16% of countries economy ($1.4 trillion).
Fionn Ly

Strong demand, low inventory raised house prices in 2010 - 0 views

  • Record low interest rates created a strong demand for a relatively low number of available homes in Canada in 2010, resulting in a higher average sale price, according to a new study.
  • housing-related spending accounted for more than 20 per cent (or $330 billion) of Canada's Gross Domestic Product in 2010 -- a rise of 7.1 per cent from the $308 billion 2009,
  • "Aging baby boomers will generate demand for condominiums and for home adaptations and support services aimed at allowing them to continue living comfortably in their homes,"
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  • By 2036, the report suggested, the number of seniors in Canada will rise from 14 per cent to almost 24 per cent by 2036 -- a phenomenon that will have a direct effect on the real estate market.
  • "In addition, the population housed in institutions, such as nursing homes and hospitals, could potentially double by 2036 given the expected growth of the senior population."
  • Across Canada in 2010, construction crews and contractors were busy attempting to build the homes needed to meet the rising demand created by record low interest rates.
  • In total 189,930 new home starts were under construction in Canada in 2010, compared to 149,081 a year earlier.
avree scarcello

HIgh Gas Prices Bad for Canadians - 0 views

  • Average household could spend $950 more this year
  • Canadian consumers could wind up paying $12 billion in higher fuel charges in 2011
  • higher pump prices for all of 2011 would translate into $950 getting sucked out of each Canadian household to feed their cars and trucks.
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  • World oil prices have already risen by more than 20 per cent since April 2010 and Canadian gasoline prices have more than followed suit, up 32 per cent since last September
  • Canada's prices at the station are within spitting distance of where they were in 2008, Tal said
  • Between October 2007 and July 2008, crude costs jumped 40 per cent
  • In effect, gasoline prices could be an "inelastic" good, economic parlance for a product or service for which demand does not change much in response to higher prices
Jessica Luong

As business confidence ebbs in Canada, jobless rate rises - The Globe and Mail - 1 views

  • Canada’s labour market has hit a wall, with job declines in three of the past four months suggesting turmoil outside the country’s borders is denting the confidence of employers.
  • The slowdown comes as deepening global uncertainty is gnawing away at business confidence. Consumers, too, are growing cautious, with a report on gross domestic product earlier this week showing both spending and total domestic demand cooling in the third quarter.
  • Manufacturing employment tumbled to another record low last month, while in the finance and real estate industry, three-month average job losses are the steepest on record. Meantime, government hiring – a key source of employment in the past few years – is expected to weaken amid budget cuts.
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  • More Canadians gave up looking for work last month. The country’s labour force participation rate fell to 66.6 per cent in November, its lowest level since 2002. The drop may stem largely from young people becoming discouraged, economists said.
  • Cynthia Richardson is looking for full-time work in the Barrie area, but seeing few opportunities. The 64-year-old is searching for jobs as an administrative assistant and says most require updated computer skills she doesn’t have.
  • The country shed 18,600 jobs last month after a tumble of 54,000 in October, marking the first back-to-back monthly drop since the recession. The jobless rate hit a five-month high of 7.4 per cent, Statistics Canada said Friday.
  • “It’s definitely not a friendly trend,” said Sheryl King, Canada economist for Merrill Lynch in Toronto. “Certain industries are growing worried about the state of economic growth, and there are signs restructuring is going on in other industries such as the public sector as well.”
  • That said, details of Friday’s Statscan report were better than the headline number suggested. The private sector resumed hiring last month, and full-time positions rose while part-time jobs declined.
  • The country’s labour market is clearly delineated along an East-West divide, with provincial jobless rates higher than the national average from Ontario eastward, and lower than average from Manitoba to British Columbia.
  • Among major cities, Regina has the lowest jobless rate in the country, at just 3.5 per cent.
  • much of the growth is in temporary work, or minimum-wage retail jobs that require working evenings or weekends.
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    Due to the increasing turmoil in the global economy, business and consumer confidences are on the decline. 
Benji Lokash

Some bad economic theories just refuse to die - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • These right-thinking stalwarts decided to issue their own minority report, essentially blaming government for much of what went wrong.
  • Put simply, the theory holds that prices of stocks and other assets reflect all available information and that the markets as a whole are smarter than any individuals, who can’t hope to outperform them. Nothing in the hypothesis can explain the frequent bubbles and busts, strange stock valuations or the inconvenient truth that some shrewd investors do outperform the market.
  • based on the assumption that a reduction in government spending will be fully offset by increased private consumption and investment.
iris qiu

Canadian household debt hits $100,000. Now what? - How to Finance Blog | How to Budget ... - 0 views

  • recent report. Canadians also owe far more then they earn. The report, released by the Vanier Institute of the Family last month, says the debt-to-income ratio is a record 150%. That means for every $1,000 in after-tax income a Canadian family earns, they now owe $1,500.
  • In previous reports tracking the health of Canadian family finances, the institute found that the debt-to-income ratio has been steadily climbing over the past 20 years. In 1990, the average family debt reached $56,800 with a debt-to-income ratio of 93%, making the current $100,000 figure a substantial increase of 78% over the past two decades.
  • 1. Mortgages.
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  • Bottom Line: Mortgages account for two-thirds of Canadian household debt and are one of the biggest strains on the family budget. Using your prepayment privileges and getting on an accelerated bi-weekly payment plan are two strategies that could help you pay down your mortgage sooner. See 5 Ways to get mortgage-free faster for the details.
  • 2. Consumer credit and loans.
  • Bottom Line: Paying with plastic can be a costly habit, especially if you're only paying the minimum every month. Get savvy about the new credit card rules, increase your minimum monthly payment to decrease your interest charges, and don't get trapped by these 5 Costly credit card tricks. 3. We're not saving.
  • Bottom Line: Spending ten minutes today could save you over $1,000 this year, and also try any of these 50 Ways to save $1000 a year if you need a bucket list of ideas to get your savings started. Just be sure to stick your money in a Tax-Free Savings Account to keep the Tax Man from biting into your returns.
dayuloveme

Record high household debt in Canada triggers alarm - The Globe and Mail - 0 views

  • Canadians have set a new record for household debt, a sign that many families are leaving themselves vulnerable to an economic shock. The debt burden of Canadian households has surpassed levels of both the United States and the United Kingdom
  • Roughly one in 10 Canadians is in a vulnerable financial position, Mr. Carney said – meaning that the cost of servicing their debt consumes more than 40 per cent of their income – “and that, historically, is where people start to have issues in making their debt service payments.”
  • Canada’s economy is faring relatively better than its peers, corporate balance sheets are strong and its banking system is in far better shape. The risk is that strained debt levels put cracks in the system.
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  • It’s particularly hard at this time of year, when pressures to spend are greater. “It’s the holidays – and you want to get your family presents, and people want to travel with you and go on trips. These are things you’re trying to make happen, or trying to back out of. It does weigh on you.”
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    Canadians' debt is much more than their income. Though Canada's economy is much better than its peers, but the debt still make the country in risk.
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