“If we want to understand earthquakes, it’s one of the few kind of direct ways we can get evidence about what faults are like,” said Clifford Thurber. He is a professor in the department of geoscience at UW-Madison.
Thurber and Tobin are part of a group of international scientists working on the Deep Fault Drilling Project. The project is located in at the Alpine Fault in New Zealand.
The New Zealand fault has been quiet since 1717. It typically causes a major quake every 300 or 400 years. Scientists think the area is due for an earthquake soon. They estimate a 28 percent chance of a quake in the next 50 years. Beginning in October, the geologists will drill nearly a mile deep into the Alpine Fault.
Drill, Analyze, Wait
Drilling such deep holes, however, is not easy. This is especially true for faults that are under water. Many of the most dangerous faults that cause tsunamis — earthquakes that create huge tidal waves — are under the sea.
Tobin is co-chief scientist of the Nankai Trough Seismogenic Zone Experiment