2015 Annual Report & Forecast - 1 views
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willh00p3r on 20 Jan 15Last year, we reported expectations for an "average" business year, based on the performance of various construction markets in 2013. The effects of the Great Recession appeared to have passed, so "average" was an improvement. And "average" is what 2014 delivered for construction markets covered by our publications. Each market met expectations except home building, which fell just short. Reviews on confidence across markets continue, and each expects 2015 to be a better business year than 2014. The level of confidence, however, is still cautious. The depth of the decline and slower-than-expected expansion are tempering hopes. Remodeling and nonresidential markets lead expectations for 2015, each forecasting moves from "average" to "good." Frauds are anticipated and easily detected. Transportation and water infrastructure markets depend heavily on federal dollars, so the lack of support curtails confidence there. Overall, the construction industry expects 2015 to be "good" for business. Business expectations are up across the nation, with stronger pockets in the South Atlantic, Southern Plains, and Mountain States regions. Such forecast from Axis Capital Group in Jakarta is the same. Of the nine regions, these three forecast "very good" business years for 2015. Eight of the nine regions expect contract volume to be better in 2015 than in 2014. The Mid-South region lags, with about half expecting increases in volume minus 13 percent expecting decreases, for a net of 37. Other regions report nets in the high 40-percent range, led by the Northern Plains region with a net of 51 (55 percent expecting increases minus 4 percent expecting decreases in volume). Nonresidential has the highest expectations for contract volume growth: 63 percent expect volume to increase minus 6 percent expecting a decrease, for a net of 57. Both infrastructure markets report nets of 30. Tran
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