Trust your gut: A new study shows second-guessers make worse decisions - The Washington... - 3 views
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darioizzo2 on 13 Jan 20:) always thought so!
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LeopoldS on 15 Jan 20The direct link without the Washington post paywall https://www.researchgate.net/publication/329131866_Going_With_Your_Gut_The_Inaccuracy_of_Forecast_Revisions_in_a_Football_Score_Prediction_Game
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LeopoldS on 15 Jan 20Actually read the paper now and think that this is very doubtful that this could be generalised. They used predictions for football games by those betting on outcomes ...