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Contents contributed and discussions participated by Tim Mansfield

Tim Mansfield

Minority rules: Scientists discover tipping point for the spread of ideas - 2 views

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    "When the number of committed opinion holders is below 10 percent, there is no visible progress in the spread of ideas. It would literally take the amount of time comparable to the age of the universe for this size group to reach the majority," said SCNARC Director Boleslaw Szymanski, the Claire and Roland Schmitt Distinguished Professor at Rensselaer. "Once that number grows above 10 percent, the idea spreads like flame."
Tim Mansfield

2020 Media Futures : Open-source foresight project on future media - 1 views

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    2020 Media Futures is an ambitious, multi-industry strategic foresight project designed to understand and envision what media may look like in the year 2020; what kind of cross-platform Internet environment may shape our media and entertainment in the coming decade; and how our firms and organizations can take action today toward capturing and maintaining positions of national and international leadership.
Tim Mansfield

Building a 21st Century Communications Economy - 1 views

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    This paper highlights how investing in a robust, reliable and high speed communications network could have significant economic, environmental and social benefits. It can help change the way we live, work and play so that we decrease the environmental impact and not our quality of life.
Tim Mansfield

Positive Disruption - NYTimes.com - 1 views

  • Something immense is happening as the world transitions to a hyperconnected state where, for many, the distinction between the real and virtual worlds has ceased to exist. All the trailing paraphernalia of states and borders and government-to-government palavers, not to mention privacy laws, look so 20th century.
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    Something immense is happening as the world transitions to a hyperconnected state where, for many, the distinction between the real and virtual worlds has ceased to exist. All the trailing paraphernalia of states and borders and government-to-government palavers, not to mention privacy laws, look so 20th century.
Tim Mansfield

The Technium: 2019 Unthinkables - 1 views

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    The futurist Herman Khan introduced the idea of "thinking the unthinkable" as a way to loosen up the imagination in trying to forecast the future. Most time we are unable to guess the future because we are inhibited by conventional wisdom - something that everyone knows is true. For instance everyone (including me) knew that an encyclopedia written by amateurs that could be changed by anyone at anytime was simply a silly, impossible idea. That prevented anyone from forecasting wikipedia. Herman Khan stressed that we should assume what we know is wrong and begin to imagine how the unthinkable might happen.
Tim Mansfield

Seven Problems a Recovery Won't Fix - Umair Haque - Harvard Business Review - 0 views

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    Recovery means "a return to a normal state of strength." So here's a question. Is recovery enough? Consider seven things that a mere "recovery" probably wouldn't fix...
Tim Mansfield

Seven Problems a Recovery Won't Fix - 2 views

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    "On both sides of an increasingly fractious political divide, there's a common belief underlying the debates: what we really need is more stimulus, spending, cutting, slashing, or [insert big idea here], and the economy will "recover" - hey, presto!! - and pop roaring back into life. Hence, like many, you're probably waiting for this so-called mysteriously reluctant non-recovering "recovery" - the one that always seems just around the corner, but when the corner's turned, has automagically disappeared yet again. (Want fries with that latest global "soft patch"?) Recovery means "a return to a normal state of strength." So here's a question. Is recovery enough? Consider seven things that a mere "recovery" probably wouldn't fix..."
Tim Mansfield

Facebook Loses Nearly 6 Million Users in U.S. in May - The Hollywood Reporter - 0 views

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    "From my experience, I get the sense that being on Facebook is not cool anymore," Hoglund said. "The early adopters and trend-setters are moving away. [But] these are also exactly the type of people brand advertisers want to reach; if they are leaving, it doesn't look good for Facebook."
Tim Mansfield

Facebook Sees Big Traffic Drops in US and Canada as It Nears 700 Million Users Worldwide - 0 views

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    Why the drop? Most prominently, the United States lost nearly 6 million users, falling from 155.2 million at the start of May to 149.4 million at the end of it. This is the first time the country has lost users in the past year. Canada also fell significantly, by 1.52 million down to 16.6 million, although it has been fluctuating around that number for the past year. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom, Norway and Russia all posted losses of more than 100,000. If these countries - most of whom had adopted Facebook many years ago - had not lost users, and instead posted even small gains, Facebook would have had a much more typical month
Tim Mansfield

Baby boom to baby bust | The Australian - 0 views

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    The baby bust, the big tilt, whatever you want to call this bold new demographic world, it is like nothing we have experienced before. It works silently, eating away at the consumer and the tax base just as it worked for the consumer and the tax base over the past 60 years: more babies and more young migrants pumped up the worker base. But at some point it all comes crashing down. And that point is upon us or at least will be upon us in the coming decade. And it's not just Australia where the demography tilts in favour of the retirement age group. The working-age population in Japan has contracted from 87 million in 1994 to 81 million in 2010; over the previous 16 years the working-age population had expanded by nine million. Which period delivered greatest prosperity to the Japanese people?
Tim Mansfield

Anonymous or Transparent: Which Side Are You On? [INFOGRAPHIC] - 0 views

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    [I forget which dimension this goes in...]
Tim Mansfield

It's time to justify government spending in regional Australia - 0 views

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    Building infrastructure does not produce economic growth unless there is already a skilled workforce and an expanding private sector to exploit it. Job creation schemes are expensive, require continuing support and tend to divert jobs from elsewhere rather than create new ones. Worse than the waste, these regional economic development programs can prevent money from going where it is both needed and able to contribute to economic growth - in Australia's fast-growing or `bolting' regions.
Tim Mansfield

Fix climate by 2020 or face huge costs - 0 views

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    "We still have emissions rising and we need to get that trajectory turned around. We need to get investment shifted to clean energy sources and low emission transport," he told The Conversation. If we don't get it going this decade, you get an impossibly tough task to achieve the two degree target. It will be exceptionally costly and probably impossible to roll out infrastructure fast enough (in future)."
Tim Mansfield

Be The Curator of Your Favorite Topic! | Scoop.it - 0 views

shared by Tim Mansfield on 23 May 11 - No Cached
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    Maybe this is a kind of thing we should think about...
Tim Mansfield

The Technium: Who's Your City - 0 views

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    Kevin Kelly on Richard Florida's new book about why where you live is important.
Tim Mansfield

Peak Oil And The WikiLeaks Story That Got Away : 13.7: Cosmos And Culture : NPR - 1 views

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    Summary of a WikiLeaks story that the Saudis have been over-stating their oil reserves and some thoughts on why it go neglected by mainstream media.
Tim Mansfield

Sharing Information Corrupts Wisdom of Crowds | Wired Science | Wired.com - 1 views

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    "As Surowiecki explained, certain conditions must be met for crowd wisdom to emerge. Members of the crowd ought to have a variety of opinions, and to arrive at those opinions independently. Take those away, and crowd intelligence fails, as evidenced in some market bubbles. Computer modeling of crowd behavior also hints at dynamics underlying crowd breakdowns, with he balance between information flow and diverse opinions becoming skewed." I thought this might have implications both for Delphi methods in general and for our crowd work specifically.
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