Monetary policy and the global housing bubble - Dokko - 2011 - Economic Policy - Wiley ... - 0 views
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Ihering Alcoforado on 07 Apr 11What caused the housing boom of the 2000s? A number of researchers havesuggested that loose monetary policy during the first half of the 2000s was aprimary cause of the substantial run-up in house prices in many countries.However, using a common statistical approach, we find that monetary policywas not the main factor. That should not be surprising: Although low interestrates raise house prices, the increase in prices during the mid-2000s was muchlarger than the historical relationship between the two variables would suggest.Instead, we investigate further the link between the marked loosening in termsand standards for mortgage credit and the most rapid increases in house prices.This link provides some evidence for a story where credit provision and thedemand for housing fed on each other and helped spur the housing boom. Ourwork suggests a greater role for macroprudential regulation rather than monetarypolicy in managing asset price booms.- Jane Dokko, Brian M. Doyle, Michael T. Kiley, Jinill Kim,Shane Sherlund, Jae Sim and Skander Van Den Heuvel