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anonymous

Geoengineering (Wikipedia definition) - 0 views

  • The modern concept of Geoengineering (or Climate Engineering) is usually taken to mean proposals to deliberately manipulate the Earth's climate to counteract the effects of global warming from greenhouse gas emissions.
    • anonymous
       
      I was brought to this page after reading a Wired Magazine excerpt of "Hack the Planet" on March 24, 2010. http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/intersection/2010/03/24/wired-excerpts-hack-the-planet/
anonymous

Study: Massive Lava Flows Allowed Dinosaurs to Conquer the Planet - 0 views

  • This week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, paleontologists say they’ve studied the period about 200 million years ago when dinosaurs first came to power, and found that while catastrophic volcanic activity may not explain dinosaur extinction, it could have explained why dinosaurs’ competitors disappeared and the terrible lizards took over the planet.
  • The scientists examined how two different isotopes (or forms) of carbon fluctuated during these volcanic eruptions. They found that the “heavy” form of carbon was depleted relative to the “light” form. They say this reflects disturbances in the carbon cycle at this time, including a spike in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) and aerosols (fine solid particles)
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    From 80beats (Discover Magazine). Written by Andrew Moseman on March 24, 2010.
anonymous

Obama Is Making Bush's Big Mistake on Russia - 0 views

  • Putin's treatment of Clinton raises doubts about the Barack Obama administration's strategy toward Russia, which has focused on building up the supposedly moderate President Dmitri Medvedev, reportedly one of the few foreign leaders Obama has bonded with, as a counterweight to Putin.
    • anonymous
       
      If true, this could be a grevious mistake, as Russia has shown a historic knack for tightly managed foreign policy under strong leaders (which Putin is).
  • After his first meeting with then-President Putin in June 2001, George W. Bush famously said: "I looked the man in the eye. I was able to get a sense of his soul."
    • anonymous
       
      That was hilarious, even at the time. My sincere hope was that the statement was intended for the domestic audience (to give comfort), because if it was for the international audience, then Bush very likely came off as very, very naive.
  • And now, we're hearing that Obama believes he has a different and promising relationship with Medvedev -- one independent of Putin.
    • anonymous
       
      My hope is that *this* is a conservative, careful way to say that Obama will give the benefit of the doubt. While I have only epheremal reasons to think this, Obama seems a bit shrewder than Bush.
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  • For all his talk of reform -- and so far it is just that, talk -- Medvedev still claims that Russia is a working democracy that protects the liberties of individual Russians despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.
    • anonymous
       
      Which is as laughable as that earlier Bush quote about "sensing his soul."
  • On Medvedev's watch, Georgia has been invaded and Abkhazia and South Ossetia effectively annexed, and Russia has continued to threaten its neighbors and put forward a "new security architecture" whose obvious goal is to undermine NATO's role in Europe.
    • anonymous
       
      Aggressively reclaiming Russia's near abroad is still their aim. Can you blame them? What's important here is that Medvedev really *is* tightly in line with Putin. It's best to think of his presidency as the continuation of the Putin administration, not a thing that's distinct from it.
  • In short, there is little reason to believe that basing a "reset" of U.S.-Russian relations on increased personal ties between presidents Medvedev and Obama will buy Obama any particular advantage. If anything, doing so reinforces Moscow's incentive to continue the "good cop, bad cop" routine.
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    Tagline: "Remember when George W. Bush thought he could get things done by making nice with Vladimir Putin? Barack Obama is repeating the same error with Dmitry Medvedev. " By Jamie Fly and Gary Schmitt in Foreign Policy on March 22, 2010
anonymous

Special Report: Espionage with Chinese Characteristics - 0 views

  • China’s covert intelligence capability seems vast mainly because of the country’s huge population and the historic Chinese diaspora that has spread worldwide. Traditionally focused inward, China as an emerging power is determined to compete with more established powers by aiming its intelligence operations at a more global audience. China is driven most of all by the fact that it has abundant resources and a lot of catching up to do.
  • Together, these cases exemplify the three main Chinese intelligence-gathering methods, which often overlap. One is “human-wave” or “mosaic” collection, which involves assigning or dispatching thousands of assets to gather a massive amount of available information. Another is recruiting and periodically debriefing Chinese-born residents of other countries in order to gather a deeper level of intelligence on more specific subjects. The third method is patiently cultivating foreign assets of influence for long-term leverage, insight and espionage.
  • To Western eyes, China’s whole approach to intelligence gathering may seem unsophisticated and risk-averse, particularly when you consider the bureaucratic inefficiencies inherent in the Communist Party of China’s (CPC) administrative structure. But it is an approach that takes a long and wide view, and it is more effective than it may seem at first glance.
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  • China’s first intelligence advocate was military theorist Sun Tzu who, in his sixth century B.C. classic The Art of War, emphasized the importance of gathering timely and accurate intelligence in order to win battles.
  • Since the time of Sun Tzu, perhaps the most successful Chinese spy has been the legendary Larry Wu-Tai Chin (Jin Wudai), an American national of Chinese descent who began his career as a U.S. Army translator and was later recruited by the MSS while working in a liaison office in Fuzhou, China, during the Korean War.
  • Chin had the same handler for 30 years, which means both agent and case officer had a high level of experience and the ability to keep all knowledge of the operation within narrow channels of the MSS. And the Chinese government never acted on Chin’s intelligence in a way that would reveal his existence.
  • (click here to enlarge image) Today, China’s intelligence bureaucracy is just that — a vast array of intelligence agencies, military departments, police bureaus, party organs, research institutions and media outlets.
anonymous

The Netanyahu-Obama Showdown - 0 views

  • As a symbol of how bad relations are between the two men, there was no final joint statement, no meeting with reporters and no pictures.
  • Obama wants to make it appear that the problem is with Netanyahu’s unwillingness to forego 1,600 apartments at a time when the United States needs an Israeli-Palestinian peace process in place to decrease anti-American sentiment in Iraq and particularly Afghanistan where fighting is raging. Netanyahu regards Obama’s wishes as intruding on Israeli national sovereignty, core interests and, ultimately, irrelevant to either Iraq or Afghanistan. Obama is trying to frame the matter as Netanyahu deliberately trying to scuttle a process Obama badly wants to happen.
  • The fact that the housing is located in Jerusalem is itself an important point to many Israelis. It is not one that most Americans care about.
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  • And this is where a personal confrontation that has turned into political manipulation can turn into a geopolitical rift. The matter has become a core personal issue with Obama and Netanyahu, and the citizens of each country are not inclined to restrain them. Genuinely fundamental issues do not appear to be at stake for either country, and therefore the risks of not yielding seem lower than the benefits of yielding.
  • In the end, of course, there is no question as to which country is more at risk. Israel is important to the United States, but it is not indispensable. The United States, on the other hand, is indispensable to Israel.
anonymous

Drop down contents hides behind picture on page and can't add second menu - 0 views

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    My support query about PixoPoint and the Arras theme.
anonymous

Empire and Social Spending - 0 views

  • France, which spends more of its GDP on health care than any other European country, also spends a higher percentage than the rest of Europe on its military.
  • Britain's financial straits following the Second World War coincided with an expansion of the British welfare state that made imperial expenditures hard to maintain (though the British Empire was in its death throes in any case).
    • anonymous
       
      Another important difference is the rather unique situation of having your nation-proper repeatedly bombed whilst your ally (America) is working to secure the transfer of all Britain's Ports via the Lend-Lease agreement.
  • If a government is going to tax people heavily, those people had best feel as though they're getting something out of the bargain.
    • anonymous
       
      A really big hole in this neocon logic is this: the example of Roosevelt during the Great Depression. WW2 gave us a showcase to build industrial momentum (free of direct threat, no less) after our muddled responses to the depression failed. Whether or not you view the creation of a truly heroic number of federal bodies as a good or bad thing, it would be foolish to argue that America has become *less* powerful since that time.
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  • the idea that in order to have an empire (or be a "superpower" or an "indispensable nation" or whatever other euphemism you feel like using), a country must necessarily have a weak social safety net is worth exploring.
  • If people like Max Boot want the United States to remain a militarily-dominant superpower, it strikes me that they ought to counsel the development of a social contract that will encourage people to accept the concomitant financial sacrifices over the long term.
anonymous

U.S. and Russia Come To Terms On START Replacement - 0 views

  • THE UNITED STATES AND RUSSIA came to an agreement on all the elements needed to sign a new nuclear arms treaty, a senior Kremlin official said Wednesday.
  • Negotiations for a replacement treaty for the expired START have dragged on as relations between the United States and Russia have been in decline.
  • But even with such pitiful relations between Moscow and Washington, the two sides were able to push through a deal on START.
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  • As bad as things are, Russia and the United States just put further limits on their biggest weapons. This means that — at least for now — the two powers are not fighting a Cold War.
anonymous

What If 9/11 Never Happened? - 0 views

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    From New York Magazine. By John Heilemann on August 14, 2006.
anonymous

North Korea, South Korea: Keeping an Eye on the Peninsula - 0 views

  • Even though lack of subsequent military conflict shows that the incident has now become a political event, the maritime boundary of the Korean Peninsula should be watched closely in the coming days to see how the incident fits within Pyongyang’s attempts to hold its own as it approaches the resumption of international negotiations and an important leadership transition.
  • The sinking of a South Korean vessel was not the result of hostile action by North Korea, and initial speculation that a torpedo attack was to blame was incorrect, KBS 1 TV reported May 26, citing a South Korean presidential spokesman. Satellite photos also showed no sign of North Korean military in the area where a South Korean naval ship sank, Yonhap reported, citing a presidential spokesman.
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    From March 26, 2010. A look at the new and sudden tensions between North and South Korea.
anonymous

Germany: Looking for Bismarck - 0 views

  • According to the draft circulated on Thursday at the two-day EU heads of government summit, Greece would indeed be offered a financial aid package of around 22 billion euro, but only after Athens was no longer able to raise funds by selling its bonds in the international markets, and even then at above-market rates, entirely obviating the point of the bailout. That is akin to offering a homeowner, who is about to default on a mortgage, a refinancing offer that equals or increases his mortgage rates above the rate he already cannot pay.
  • The proposal may very well push Athens to pursue an International Monetary Fund package independent of the eurozone, which could be the intention of Berlin perhaps looking to wash its hands of the entire problem.
  • Germany essentially has a limited window of opportunity in the next 10 years to make or break its leadership of the European Union and therefore its claim to global relevancy. Germany’s birth rate is lower than all of the major European powers that surround it (France, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Sweden), while its population is significantly older than that of Poland.
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  • The ultimate problem for Germany is that the moment the rest of Europe perceives that Berlin is looking out solely for its own national interests — such as when it refuses to put up money to save a eurozone member state — it ceases to be a viable European leader.
  • But the clock is ticking, and Europe’s demographic challenges are right around the corner. At that point, all of Europe will be so embroiled in domestic political, economic and social concerns that settling issues of leadership and power will be impossible, and that is if the EU even survives the coming crisis.
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    The Geopolitical Diary entry (at StratFor) for March 26, 2010.
anonymous

China: Crunch Time - 0 views

  • It is that, but it is much, much more.
    • anonymous
       
      This statement links to a great StratFor article from 2008 that looked at European efforts to reorient the structure of Bretton Woods.
  • For the Europeans, Bretton Woods provided the stability, financing and security backbone Europe used first to recover, and in time to thrive. For the Americans, it provided the ability to preserve much of the World War II alliance network into the next era in order to compete with the Soviet Union.
  • Militarily and economically, it became the bedrock of the anti-Soviet containment strategy.
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  • Applying this little history lesson to the question at hand, Bretton Woods is the ultimate reason why the Chinese have succeeded economically for the last generation.
  • But this may be changing
  • the shift in tone in U.S. trade policy is itself enough to suggest big changes, beginning with the idea that the United States actually will compete with the rest of the world in exports.
  • If — and we must emphasize if — there will be force behind this policy shift, the Chinese are in serious trouble.
  • Japan’s economy, in 1990 and now, only depended upon international trade for approximately 15 percent of its GDP. For China, that figure is 36 percent, and that is after suffering the hit to exports from the global recession.
  • First, Chinese currency reserves exist because Beijing does not want to invest its income in China.
  • Second, those bond purchases largely fuel U.S. consumers’ ability to purchase Chinese goods.
  • Third, a cold stop in bond purchases would encourage the U.S. administration — and the American economy overall — to balance its budgets.
  • the United States has more disposable income than all of China’s other markets combined.
  • Beijing perceives the spat with Google and Obama’s meeting with the Dalai Lama as direct attacks by the United States
  • With the Democratic Party in the United States (historically the more protectionist of the two mainstream U.S. political parties) both in charge and worried about major electoral losses, the Chinese fear that midterm U.S. elections will be all about targeting Chinese trade issues.
  • If there has already been a decision in Washington to break with Bretton Woods, no number of token changes will make any difference. Such a shift in the U.S. trade posture will see the Americans going for China’s throat (no matter whether by design or unintentionally).
  • STRATFOR sees a race on, but it isn’t a race between the Chinese and the Americans or even China and the world. It’s a race to see what will smash China first, its own internal imbalances or the U.S. decision to take a more mercantilist approach to international trade.
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    A great StratFor article about the coming full-blown trade dispute with China. From March 30, 2010.
anonymous

The United States, Europe and Bretton Woods II - 0 views

  • The conventional wisdom is that Bretton Woods crafted the modern international economic architecture, lashing the trading and currency systems to the gold standard to achieve global stability.
  • The origin of Bretton Woods lies in the Great Depression.
  • Economically, World War II was a godsend. The military effort generated demand for goods and labor. The goods part is pretty straightforward, but the labor issue is what really allowed the global economy to turn the corner.
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  • The war removed tens of millions of men from the labor force, shipping them off to — economically speaking — nonproductive endeavors.
  • Policymakers of the time realized that the prosecution of the war had suspended the depression, but few were confident that the war had actually ended the conditions that made the depression possible.
  • When all was said and done, the delegates agreed to a system of exchangeable currencies and broadly open rules of trade. The system would be based on the gold standard to prevent currency fluctuations, and a pair of institutions — what would become known as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank — would serve as guardians of the system’s financial and fiduciary particulars.
  • In fact, we are still using Bretton Woods, and while nothing that has been discussed to this point is wrong exactly, it is only part of the story.
  • Think back to July 1944. The Normandy invasion was in its first month. The United Kingdom served as the staging ground, but with London exhausted, its military commitment to the operation was modest.
  • The shape of the Cold War was already beginning to unfold. Between the United States and the Soviet Union, the rest of the modern world — namely, Europe — was going to either experience Soviet occupation or become a U.S. protectorate.
  • The Continental states — and even the United Kingdom — were not simply economically spent and indebted but were, to be perfectly blunt, destitute.
  • This was not World War I, where most of the fighting had occurred along a single series of trenches. This was blitzkrieg and saturation bombings, which left the Continent in ruins, and there was almost nothing left from which to rebuild.
  • For the United States, the issue was one of seizing a historic opportunity.
  • The United States entered World War II late and the war did not occur on U.S. soil. So — uniquely among all the world’s major powers of the day — U.S. infrastructure and industrial capacity would emerge from the war larger (far, far larger) than when it entered.
  • The United States had to have not just the participation of the Western Europeans in holding back the Soviet tide, it needed the Europeans to defer to American political and military demands — and to do so willingly. Considering the desperation and destitution of the Europeans, and the unprecedented and unparalleled U.S. economic strength, economic carrots were the obvious way to go.
  • Put another way, Bretton Woods was part of a broader American effort to extend the wartime alliance — sans the Soviets — beyond Germany’s surrender.
  • The United States would allow Europe near tariff-free access to its markets, and turn a blind eye to Europe’s own tariffs so long as they did not become too egregious — something that at least in part flew in the face of the Great Depression’s lessons.
  • The “free world” alliance would not consist of a series of equal states. Instead, it would consist of the United States and everyone else.
  • When loans to fund Western Europe’s redevelopment failed to stimulate growth, those loans became grants, aka the Marshall Plan.
  • And fast-forwarding to when the world went off of the gold standard and Bretton Woods supposedly died, gold was actually replaced by the U.S. dollar. Far from dying, the political/military understanding that underpinned Bretton Woods had only become more entrenched.
  • For many of the states that will be attending what is already being dubbed Bretton Woods II, having this American centrality as such a key pillar of the system is the core of the problem.
  • a crisis in the U.S. economy becomes global.
  • The U.S. economy remains the largest, and dysfunctions there affect the world. That is the reality of the international system, and that is ultimately what the French call for a new Bretton Woods is about.
  • Relying on a currency that is not in the hands of a sovereign taxing power, but dependent on the political will of (so far) 15 countries with very different interests, does not make for a reliable reserve currency.
  • The French in particular look at the current crisis as the result of a failure in the U.S. regulatory system.
  • The Bretton Woods institutions — specifically the IMF, which is supposed to serve the role of financial lighthouse and crisis manager — proved irrelevant to the problems the world is currently passing through.
  • Fundamentally, the Europeans are not simply hoping to modernize Bretton Woods, but instead to Europeanize the American financial markets. This is ultimately not a financial question, but a political one.
  • Far more important, any international system that oversees aspects of American finance would, by definition, not be under full American control, but under some sort of quasi-Brussels-like organization. And no American president is going to engage gleefully on that sort of topic.
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    An article about this misunderstood institution. From StratFor back on October 20, 2008.
anonymous

The Democrats Are Doomed, or How A 'Big Tent' Can Be Too Big - 0 views

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    From OkTrends. A great article (referenced by Dave Gottlieb) and pointed to from within this Buzz entry: http://www.google.com/buzz/111803955882817854729/QB9Mdp8jY6j/Partisan-Bipartisan-Crooked-Timber
anonymous

The Democrats Are Doomed, or How A 'Big Tent' Can Be Too Big - 0 views

shared by anonymous on 30 Mar 10 - Cached
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    From OkTrends. A great article (referenced by Dave Gottlieb) and pointed to from within this Buzz entry: http://www.google.com/buzz/111803955882817854729/QB9Mdp8jY6j/Partisan-Bipartisan-Crooked-Timber
anonymous

Europe Could Go 100% Renewable By 2050 - 0 views

  • Earlier this month, the European Commission reported that the EU was on track to get 20 percent of its electricity from renewable sources by 2020.
  • A "super-smart" grid powered by solar farms in North Africa, wind farms in northern Europe and the North Sea, hydro-electric from Scandinavia and the Alps and a complement of biomass and marine energy could render carbon-based fuels obsolete for electricity by 2050, said the report.
  • Under a variety of business-as-usual scenarios, the EU's projected to import about 70 percent of its energy by 2050, including loads of natural gas from Russia, which hasn't always been the most stable of suppliers. So the EU has plenty of reasons beyond climate change to want to decarbonize.
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    From Bradford Plumer of The New Republic on March 30, 2010.
anonymous

Hear that? All is quiet as Ford's Transit Connect Electric hits New York City's streets - 0 views

  • Most of today's cars are already pretty quiet, but Ford's new electric vehicle makes practically no sound at all. In fact, the dashboard dials coming to life are the only indication that it's running. This is a reminder that the car runs on a 300-volt Siemens AC induction electric motor and not a fuel-fired internal combustion engine.
  • The Transit Connect Electric has just a single-speed automatic transmission, so in addition to not hearing the hum of an engine, there's no shifting between gears
  • Cost might also be a factor. Ford hasn't announced pricing, but it is expected to far exceed the $21,000 for a gas-powered Transit Connect.
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  • Given that Detroit has been churning out model after model of gas-powered cars for more than a century, it's not surprising that the shift to hybrid and electric vehicles has taken a while to get out of first gear.
anonymous

Romney Death Watch - 0 views

  • At the moment, Republican leaders are trying to demonize the Affordable Care Act, so they have little incentive to point out that it's basically Romneycare plus cost controls.
  • Romney's position is basically that socialist tyranny is okay as long as it's imposed on a state-by-state basis. I don't see this argument winning over the GOP base.
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    By Jonathan Chait at The New Republic on March 30, 2010.
anonymous

States' Rights Is Rallying Cry for Lawmakers - 0 views

  • Some legal scholars say the new states’ rights drive has more smoke than fire, but for lawmakers, just taking a stand can be important enough.
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    Referred to this article by the Lifecourse Blog (http://blog.lifecourse.com/2010/03/fourth-turning-watch-states-rights/). It's a look at the cry for states' rights in the New York Times, written by Kirk Johnson on March 16, 2010.
anonymous

Obama's Health Beast Squashes State Experiments - 0 views

  • It is that states can be laboratories where the country experiments to ascertain which mix of taxes, incentives and public administration works best when it comes to health care.
    • anonymous
       
      This argument might have flown two decades ago, but in the past fifty years, most state initiatives have born little fruit.
  • Hearing the Indiana details, one is tempted to pick at them like a statistics professor. But whether Healthy Indiana is perfect isn't at issue. The issue is that an experiment proceeded.
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    From the Council on Foreign Relations. By Amity Shlaes on March 31, 2010.
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