Deeper sanctions would be welcomed by Mr Ahmadinejad — it would allow him to
appeal to nationalist sentiment and tighten his grip on the economy. (Of
course, a military attack would be the ultimate gift to the theocracy,
something hardline elements of the regime are reportedly seeking actively to
provoke.) Worse still, an agreement would enable the leadership to claim
victory without actually impeding its repressive rule. Having lost
legitimacy in the streets of its own cities, the regime is being offered a
chance to regain it, in different form, in the halls of the United Nations.
With its very existence in the balance, pressure on the regime to freeze its
nuclear programme is not a threat, but an opportunity to regain
international credibility.