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Edward Pearson

Lost in inflation: the trap of focusing solely on the consumer price index | The Japan ... - 3 views

  • interest rate policy since February 1999
    • Edward Pearson
       
      -Increase borrowing and decreasing savings -however, real interest rates are positive due to deflation 
  • the government's fiscal policy options are starting to run out
    • Edward Pearson
       
      Increase in budget deficit as spending increases and tax revenue decreases - along with debt of 215% of GDP
  • This is reflected by globalized Japan's descent into its first trade deficit since 1980
    • Edward Pearson
       
      GDP=C+!+G+X-M  demand for domestic products decrease because foreign products are relatively cheaper - increase in M and decrease in X, so AD decreases and GDP decrease causing deflation
  • ...4 more annotations...
  • prices in Japan remain very high by international standards.
    • Edward Pearson
       
      Lack of factors of production - mainly land need for importing from foreign countries possible solutions- Free trade
  • This is one factor behind Japan's high prices.
  • cannot pin their hopes on wage increases
    • Edward Pearson
       
      should be a decrease in wages as revenue decreases - sticky wages 
  • They should step back and take a look at the big picture, including Japan's abnormally high prices,
    • Edward Pearson
       
      deflation possibly could be advantages - increase in spending power, international competitiveness etc 
Adam Seldis

Kenya inflation slows to 12.2 pct in May | Reuters - 5 views

    • Adam Seldis
       
      This nicely allows some evaluation, as we can speculate on to what evaluate the government should change interest rates
    • Adam Seldis
       
      I could use this to introduce the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates. However that's more international economics so I might just ignore it. 
    • Adam Seldis
       
      This is a nice article that allows me to explain what inflation is and how Kenya has cost-push disinflation. I can easily show this in a diagram. What's more it also talks about monetary policy, so I can explain how the government has helped create this - the impact of interest rates on costs. There are also some really good evaluation opportunities, particularly as the article suggests the Kenyan government itself doesn't know what to do with interest rates. I can ignore exchange rates but instead focus on the possible impact on employment and general GDP growth, whilst not ignoring the ominous signs mentioned about future world commodity prices.
Cynthia Huang

Fed unveils new bond-buying program - Taipei Times - 1 views

  • holding their money unused would essentially cost them
  • keep its benchmark interest rate at ultra-low levels until at least the middle of 2015
  • pushing up the prices of homes, stocks and other assets
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • going to provide the demand most firms need to be able to hire or invest.
  • The jobless rate would still be in the 6.7 to 7.3 percent at the end of 2014, while inflation would remain at or below the Fed’s 2 percent target through 2015
Tessa Jalink

Australian economy good enough to keep interest rates on hold | Television New Zealand ... - 2 views

  • out weaker commodity prices and the mining
  • mining boom
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Concerns that mining boom is over. This would cause a reduction in GDP
  • hold off on another rate cut
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Further reduction in RoI is not necessary
  • ...8 more annotations...
  • softness
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Economy is unstable, possibly due to uncertainty in mining?
  • investment and exports
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Increase in I + X, resulting in an increase in AD
  • interest rate cuts
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Interest rates have been cut over the past year. 
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      This should cause an increase in C, resulting in an increase in AD. 
  • potential for rises
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Very positive outlook.
  • growth and inflation
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Inflation & GDP growth is expected
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Caused by previous RoI cuts.
  • mining boom.
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Concerns about mining boom, global uncertainty caused business confidence to decrease.
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Resulted in a decrease in I
  • mining
  • employment.
    • Tessa Jalink
       
      Increase in employment caused rise in business conditions.
Fuyuka Nakamura

India's GDP growth slows sharply - May. 31, 2012 - 2 views

  • sharply
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      AD/AS changed in time fast
  • In the first quarter, the country's manufacturing sector contracted and its agricultural sector slowed substantially
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      An aggregate demand and supply curve can be shown to demonstrate the decline in GDP, which resulted from the contraction in the agricultural sector/manufacturing sector. The supply curve can shift down to demonstrate how the economy is producing less.
  • due primarily to weakness in its manufacturing and agricultural sectors
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      Reason for the decline in economic growth in India. Shift in AS.
  • ...8 more annotations...
  • Spending by both consumers and the government decelerated slightly.
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      By spending to decrease, the demand curve will shift, as people demand/spend less on the good/service.
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      Consumer confidence is affected by the high interest rates (mentioned below)
  • tighter monetary policy
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      Monetary Policy can be described. The interest rate and supply of money can be described to show how goods/services can affect economic growth.
  • interest rates high for three years to battle rapid inflation
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      As interest rates are high, the sectors will not want to borrow money, as they will be losing out on money. Consumers will also save their money rather than spend it, which then affects the aggregate demand curve. Which then affects the economic growth.
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      Contrationary Monetary Policy, as the Gov is trying to fight the inflation. In other words they want to lower the price levels. They do this by rising the interest rate to decrease the supply of money.
  • lower that rate slightly to try to stimulate economic growth.
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      Can talk about the effect of lowering the interest rates. How the consumers will start to spend rather than save and how the businesses (sectors) start to borrow money for investment, which then pumps up the economic growth.
  • lower rates further
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      the Reserve Bank of India can impose Expansionary Monetary Policy, lowering the interest rates, increasing the money supply, encouraging new consumption and investments. This will shift the AD out, increasing India's GDP within time. This will be their solution.
  • economic growth
    • Fuyuka Nakamura
       
      About India's GDP It will involve AD and AS
  • sharply
  • India is the world's second most populous nation after China, and the 11th largest economy,
Sean Dolan

Japan tax hikes can't wait - Chicago Tribune - 0 views

  • target of 1 percent
    • Sean Dolan
       
      most countries aim at around 3. Japan needs to get out of inflation so 1 is good enough
    • Sean Dolan
       
      most countries aim at around 3. Japan needs to get out of inflation so 1 is good enough
  • zero rate
    • Sean Dolan
       
      more investments because the interest rate or discount rate is zero. so increase in consumption. GDP increase if all goes well
  • budget deficits projected at about 10 percent
  • ...4 more annotations...
  • 10 percent
    • Sean Dolan
       
      ad valorem
  • deflation
    • Sean Dolan
       
      the deflation decreased consumption and investments because people will wait for the price to decrease then buy it at a higher price
  • exports
    • Sean Dolan
       
      x will increase because it decreased drastically last year
  • energy shortages
    • Sean Dolan
       
      decrease in supply of electricity. So electric companies are increasing the price of electricity
Yuuji Mitsuta

BBC News - Yen dips as Yoshihiko Noda proposes snap elections - 0 views

  • It fell as low as 80.83 yen
    • Yuuji Mitsuta
       
      Depreciation
  • print "unlimited yen" to help fight deflation.
  • Analysts said such a move would weaken the yen even further.
  • ...5 more annotations...
  • We are expecting the dollar/yen to head up to around 82 yen by the end of the year."
  • Meanwhile, policymakers have found it increasingly tough to boost domestic consumption, as they continue to fight deflation or falling consumer prices, which tend to make customers put off their purchases in hope of a better deal down the road.
  • needed to set an inflation target of 3% instead of its current 1% goal to help revive growth in the economy.
  • monetary policy would be key
  • Japan's exports, one of the biggest drivers of growth, have been hurt by a slowdown in key markets such as the US and Europe.
Jin Seo

BP, Shell raided over alleged price fixing | News.com.au - 1 views

  • cartels
    • Jin Seo
       
      formal collusion; cartels are group of competitive firms colluding together to act as a monopoly - why is a monopoly market structure attractive to producers?
  • market manipulation
    • Jin Seo
       
      The act of artificially inflating or deflating the price of a security 
  • prices of crude oil, refined oil products and biofuels purchases and sales, potentially harming final consumers
    • Jin Seo
       
      oil- one of the most inelastic goods due to its high demand and usage in producing a lot of consumer goods 
  • ...9 more annotations...
  • price fixing
    • Jin Seo
       
      price fixing = market manipulation 
  • BP, Shell and Norway's Statoil
    • Jin Seo
       
      what sort of market structure are they in? oligopoly and their tendency to collude = because they are profit maximizers 
  • European Commission
    • Jin Seo
       
      have monitoring for these companies due to high probabilities of collusion 
  • collude
  • prevented others from participating in the price assessment process
    • Jin Seo
       
      fairly high barriers to entry - one of the characteristics of an oligopoly 
  • the market vulnerable to abuse
  • Consumers need to know that the prices they pay for their energy or petrol are fair, transparent and not being manipulated by traders
  • High oil prices are crushing families across Britain
  • market transparency
    • Jin Seo
       
      EVALUATION: what would the evaluation contain?   - is it good or bad? (for consumers (benefits of colluding) and producers)   - BP oil competition = shows how having contest ability may be dangerous   - what can the governments do to stop collusion from happening? 
  •  
    Price fixing of oil companies in the EU
Christina Seward

Minimum alcohol price in Scotland to be set at 50p a unit | Society | The Guardian - 4 views

    • Christina Seward
       
      first IA
  • After resisting it for four years, Scottish Labour is also preparing to support the policy if Alex Salmond's government presses on with plans for a £130m "health levy" on supermarkets to claw back the £125m increase in their revenues from a 50p minimum price.
  • said in January that inflation and a drop in alcohol misuse meant only a 50p cost would have a significant impact now.
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • 60 lives in the first year, and 318 a year within a decade. It would most directly affect alcoholics,
  • extra £120 a year.
Cynthia Huang

Food prices rise, but CPI below 2% - Taipei Times - 0 views

  • Vegetable prices increased by 25.35% from a year ago because rainy weather cut supplies, and partly because of a low comparison base from last year
    • Cynthia Huang
       
      The prices increased due to bad weather. The supply must have decreased as prices increased. 
  • Lowering telecoms and Internet subscription costs
  • annual increases in the consumer price index (CPI) remained below 2 percent last month
  • ...8 more annotations...
  • Telecoms and Internet connection prices tumbled 10.15 percent
  • dragging down the annual increase
  • central bank will probably not raise Taiwan’s policy rates
  • rainy weather cut supplies and drove up costs
  • Expenses for eating out expanded by 2.38 percent last month
  • government’s recent cut to its full-year CPI growth forecast would further strengthen the central bank’s resolve in holding rates at their current levels
  • 25.35 percent
  • Without the lower prices of telecoms and Internet expenses, the annual growth in CPI would have climbed over 2 percent last month
J Hwang

China cuts interest rates - 1 views

  •  
    -macroeconomics -Monetary Policy - China's central bank decided to decrease interest rates -however, the lending rate is still much higher than that in USA, Europe and Japan. -recently China decreased the reserved ratio as well. -Eurozone crisis - decrease in demand for exports - damaging to Chinese economy -previously, China raised interest rates to decrease inflation --> however led to a slowdown in economics growth
Graeme Lorimer

BBC News - China cuts key interest rates to boost growth - 0 views

  • attempt to boost its slowing growth
    • Graeme Lorimer
       
      GPL vs. GDP curve higher price levels reduces spending and GDP
  • higher rates to savers and lower rates to borrowers.
    • Graeme Lorimer
       
      Encourage spending of money rather than "keeping it under the mattress"
  • more competition
    • Graeme Lorimer
       
      Good for consumers - more competition -> lower rates and more borrowing so there will be more spending and the GDP will rise
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • t's a first step in rate liberalisation
  • curb lending
  • slowdown around the world
    • Graeme Lorimer
       
      China controls everything
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