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Gene Ellis

Crippled eurozone to face fresh debt crisis this year, warns ex-ECB strongman Axel Webe... - 0 views

  • Crippled eurozone to face fresh debt crisis this year, warns ex-ECB strongman Axel Weber
  • Harvard professor Kenneth Rogoff said the launch of the euro had been a "giant historic mistake, done to soon" that now requires a degree of fiscal union and a common bank resolution fund to make it work, but EMU leaders are still refusing to take these steps.
  • "People are no longer talking about the euro falling apart but youth unemployment is really horrific. They can't leave this twisting in wind for another five years," he said.
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  • Mr Rogoff said Europe is squandering the "scarce resource" of its youth, badly needed to fortify an ageing society as the demographic crunch sets in.
  • "If these latent technologies are not realised, Europe will wake up like Rip Van Winkel from a long Japan-like slumber to find itself a much smaller part of the world economy, and a lot less important."
  • Pierre Nanterme, chairman and chief executive officer of Accenture, said Europe is losing the great battle for competitiveness, and risks a perma-slump where debt burdens of 100pc of GDP prevent governments breaking free by investing in skills and technology.
  • Mr Weber, who resigned from the Bundesbank and the ECB in a dispute over euro debt crisis strategy, said new "bail-in" rules for bond-holders of eurozone banks will cause investors to act pre-emptively, aiming to avoid large losses before the ECB issues its test verdicts. "We may see that speculators do not wait until November, but bet on winners and losers before that," he said.
  • Sir Martin said the eurozone is pursuing a reverse "Phillips Curve" - the trade off between jobs and inflation - as if it were testing "what level of unemployment it is prepared to tolerate for zero inflation".
  • Mr Rogoff said debt write-downs across the EMU periphery "will eventually happen" but the longer leaders let the crisis fester with half-measures, the worse damage this will do to European society in the end.
  • He said Europe is falling further behind as the US basks in cheap energy and pours funds into cutting-edge technology. "A lot is at stake. If in 12 to 24 months no radical steps are taken to break the curse, we might have not just five, ten, but twenty years of a low-growth sluggish situation in Europe," he said.
  • "People are no longer talking about the euro falling apart but youth unemployment is really horrific. They can't leave this twisting in wind for another five years," he said
Gene Ellis

http://www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/region_focus/2012/q1/pdf/feature1.pdf - 1 views

  •  
    The Dream behind the Eurozone
Gene Ellis

Marek Belka examines the hurdles that Polish policymakers must surmount prior to euro m... - 0 views

  • Poland’s Eurozone Tests
  • As long as eurozone debts continue to rise and member economies diverge rather than converge, prospective members should also be stress-tested to see if they can withstand external shocks and sustain the membership criteria over the long term.
  • Rather, Poland simply combines low costs (including wages) and high-quality production.
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  • But competitiveness based on cost, rather than brand value or innovation, makes the Polish economy vulnerable.
  • And Poland’s cost advantage would disappear if the złoty were to strengthen sharply.
  • the country must be careful about joining the exchange rate mechanism (ERM II) – the narrow band within which applicant currencies must operate for at least two years prior to adopting the euro. Doing so could cause the złoty to strengthen, as it did to the Slovak koruna, and wipe out Poland’s competitive advantage.
  • One in four employees is on a fixed-term contract or self-employed.
  • But flexible labor markets have disadvantages, too. Companies tend not to invest in talent or develop new skills, and the quality of existing skills can suffer. In the longer run, flexible labor markets also increase structural unemployment and fuel the informal economy.
  • Finally, Poland needs sound public finances – that is, fiscal space for automatic stabilizers during economic crises.
Gene Ellis

German Judges Refer E.C.B. Bond-Buying Plan to European Court - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • German Judges Refer E.C.B. Bond-Buying Plan to European Court
Gene Ellis

Long-Haul Expansion by a Norwegian Carrier Upsets U.S. Airlines - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Long-Haul Expansion by a Norwegian Carrier Upsets U.S. Airlines
Gene Ellis

Nouriel Roubini explains why many previously fast-growing economies suddenly find thems... - 0 views

  • Nonetheless, the threat of a full-fledged currency, sovereign-debt, and banking crisis remains low, even in the Fragile Five, for several reasons
  • All have flexible exchange rates,
  • a large war chest of reserves
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  • and fewer currency mismatches
  • Many also have sounder banking systems, while their public and private debt ratios, though rising, are still low
  • But the short-run policy tradeoffs that many of these countries face – damned if they tighten monetary and fiscal policy fast enough, and damned if they do not – remain ugly.
  • As it is widely known, transfer pricing is the major tool for corporate tax avoidance, and it creates current account deficit when a multinational company receives from its own branch
  • abroad, the previously transferred own profit, as a debt.
Gene Ellis

Ukraine: Running in Place | Open Society Foundations (OSF) - 0 views

  • Ukraine: Running in Place
  • Corruption is simultaneously a cause and symptom of this situation. According to Transparency International’s 2008 Global Corruption Report, higher education is widely considered one of the most corrupt spheres in Ukrainian life. The report cites a survey conducted the previous year by Management Systems International and the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology in which 47.3 percent of respondents said a bribe was demanded up front in their dealings with universities, while 29 percent said they gave a bribe on their own initiative.
  • Many teachers, from the primary to the university level, received their formal education 10 or 20 years ago and have not updated their qualifications since. There is no movement to force teachers at any level to update their skills.
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  • “The Ukrainian education system has retained its Soviet shape,” Kasianov said. “It worked in a mono-ideological system with a centralized economic and social system. But now it is outdated. It needs to be reformed to meet the needs of a mobile market economy, a globalized world, and a fluid society.”
Gene Ellis

List of International Organization for Standardization standards - Wikipedia, the free ... - 1 views

  • List of International Organization for Standardization standards
Gene Ellis

World Bank Blogs - 0 views

shared by Gene Ellis on 05 Feb 14 - Cached
Gene Ellis

Designer Seed Thought to Be Latest Target by Chinese - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Designer Seed Thought to Be Latest Target by Chinese
Gene Ellis

BEA: Industry and Foreign Trade Classification Materials - 1 views

shared by Gene Ellis on 03 Feb 14 - No Cached
  • Industry and Foreign Trade Classification Materials
Gene Ellis

BLS Search Results - 0 views

shared by Gene Ellis on 03 Feb 14 - No Cached
  • North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)
Gene Ellis

Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) System - 0 views

shared by Gene Ellis on 03 Feb 14 - No Cached
  • Standard Occupational Classification FONT SIZE: PRINT: SOC Standard Occupational Classification SOC Homepage 2018 SOC Revision Process 2010 SOC System Search 2010 SOC Materials Contact SOC SHARE ON:
Gene Ellis

Severe Drought Has U.S. West Fearing Worst - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Severe Drought Has U.S. West Fearing Worst
Gene Ellis

Talking Troubled Turkey - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Talking Troubled Turkey
  • probably because most countries placed restrictions on cross-border capital flows, so that international borrowing and lending were limited.
  • a bigger version of the same story unfolded in Asia: Huge money inflows followed by a sudden stop and economic implosion.
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  • And the same forces that sent money sloshing into Turkey also make the world economy as a whole highly vulnerable.
  • If this is a good description of our situation, and I believe it is, we now have a world economy destined to seesaw between bubbles and depression
Gene Ellis

A Mafia Legacy Taints the Earth in Southern Italy - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • A Mafia Legacy Taints the Earth in Southern Italy
  • Camorra
  • One environmental group estimates that 10 million tons of toxic garbage has been illegally buried here since the early 1990s, earning billions of dollars for the mafia even as toxic substances leached into the soil and the water table.
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