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Contents contributed and discussions participated by Gene Ellis

Gene Ellis

Germany's Insistence on Austerity Meets With Revolt in the Eurozone - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Germany’s Insistence on Austerity Meets With Revolt in the Eurozone
  • Ms. Merkel and her finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, are far more likely to stick to balancing Germany’s federal budget, “a very strange objective to announce in current circumstances,” Mr. Fratzscher, who is president of the German Institute of the Economy in Berlin, said in an interview.
  • While they may agree to increase spending on roads, bridges and other infrastructure in Germany, he added, the German leaders are not likely to back similar policies for France and Italy, which in Berlin’s view cannot afford it.
Gene Ellis

No miracles in southern Eurozone without resource reallocation | vox - 0 views

  • No miracles in southern Eurozone without resource reallocation
Gene Ellis

Putin's endgame | vox - 0 views

Gene Ellis

The Problem With Energy Efficiency - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • The Problem With Energy Efficiency
  • Over the past two centuries, the real cost of illumination in Britain has declined by a factor of 3,000, largely because of efficiency improvements, according to the researchers Roger Fouquet of the London School of Economics and Peter J. G. Pearson of Imperial College, London.
  • Especially in developing economies, cheap, energy-efficient lighting will almost certainly allow poor people to bring modern lighting into their homes much faster than they otherwise would. And that will almost certainly result in faster growth in energy demand globally.
Gene Ellis

Stats: The Euro Crisis v. The Great Depression - Business Insider - 0 views

  • Greece has seen real GDP decline by 25% between the last quarter of 2007 and the last quarter of 2013, while youth unemployment in Italy and Portugal is still at shocking levels of 44% and 35% respectively.
Gene Ellis

The euro is in greater peril today than at the height of the crisis - FT.com - 0 views

  • The euro is in greater peril today than at the height of the crisis
  • Two years ago forecasters were hoping for strong economic recovery. Now we know it did not happen, nor is it about to happen.
  • Today the eurozone has no mechanism to defend itself against a drawn-out depression. And, unlike two years ago, policy makers have no appetite to create such a mechanism.
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  • Both Ms Le Pen and Mr Grillo want their countries to leave the eurozone.
  • Unlike two years ago, we now have a clearer idea about the long-term policy response. Austerity is here to stay. Fiscal policy will continue to contract as member states fulfil their obligations under new European fiscal rules.
  • And what about structural reforms? We should not overestimate their effect. Germany’s much-praised welfare and labour reforms made it more competitive against other eurozone countries. But they did not increase domestic demand. Applied to the eurozone as a whole, their effect would be even smaller as not everybody can become simultaneously more competitive against one another.
  • hese serial disappointments do not tell us conclusively that the eurozone will fail. But they tell us that secular stagnation is very probable. For me, that constitutes the true metric of failure.
Gene Ellis

Four rescue measures for stagnant eurozone - FT.com - 0 views

  • Four rescue measures for stagnant eurozone
  • The EBA has a long record of stress tests that grotesquely underestimate the capital holes in EU banks.
  • Both the AQR and the stress test relied heavily on national regulators and supervisors – the very entities on whose watch the excesses that led to the financial crisis were allowed to fester and compound.
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  • They were in charge of the regulatory leniency that permitted the banks in their jurisdictions to engage in lender forbearance (extend and pretend/delay and pray) and to overstate the fair value of their assets.
  • To avoid the cyclical stagnation in the eurozone turning into secular stagnation, four policies are required.
  • he first is a proper AQR and stress test followed by a speedy recapitalisation of the capital-deficient banks and a wave of consolidation in the eurozone banking sector to bring higher profitability
  • The second measure is a temporary fiscal stimulus (say 1 per cent of eurozone GDP per year for two years, concentrated in the countries with the largest output gaps, that is, in the periphery), which is permanently funded and monetised by the ECB.
  • this will be a reminder that the most important asset of central banks – the present value of future seigniorage profits – is off-balance sheet.
  • Finally, to achieve debt sustainability for the eurozone sovereigns, radical supply side reforms are required that boost the growth rate of potential output to at least 1.5 per cent in Italy, Portugal and other sclerotic countries.
Gene Ellis

Swiss move is small preview of what would happen in euro breakup - MarketWatch - 0 views

  • Opinion: Swiss move is small preview of what would happen in euro breakup
Gene Ellis

Shale oil and gasoline prices | VOX, CEPR's Policy Portal - 0 views

  • How the shale oil revolution has affected US oil and gasoline prices
Gene Ellis

George Soros: Russia Could Default & Disrupt Global Markets; Europe Must Rescue Ukraine... - 0 views

  • George Soros: Russia Could Default & Disrupt Global Markets; Europe Must Rescue Ukraine
Gene Ellis

Europe's Young Entrepreneurs - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Europe's Young Entrepreneurs
  • Mr. D’Aloisio was still a 17-year-old British student in 2013 when he sold his news-reading app, Summly, to Yahoo for what some reports said was as much as $30 million.
  • Jan Koum, the Ukrainian-born American who was a co-founder of WhatsApp, a mobile messaging application.The company was acquired by Facebook a few months later. “I turned down his offer, but since his company then got sold for $19 billion and every employee held some options, it’s a bit painful to think about that decision,” Mr. Cuende said.
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  • The American tech sector has started thinking likewise. In some parts of Google, for instance, as many as 14 percent of employees do not have college degrees.
  • Eiso Kant, a 24-year-old Dutch entrepreneur — a veteran, by the conference’s standards — has settled in Madrid. He initially came to study at its IE University, but then started Tyba, an online job recruitment platform focused on start-up companies.
  • Aya Jaff, a 19-year-old, Iraqi-born German, set up an association to teach coding to young people, while herself completing a degree in computer sciences.
Gene Ellis

Swiss move is small preview of what would happen in euro breakup - MarketWatch - 0 views

  • Opinion: Swiss move is small preview of what would happen in euro breakup
Gene Ellis

Homeowners in Poland Borrowed in Swiss Francs, and Now Pay Dearly - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Homeowners in Poland Borrowed in Swiss Francs, and Now Pay Dearly
Gene Ellis

We Can't Blame a Few Rich People for Global Poverty - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • We Can’t Blame a Few Rich People for Global Poverty
Gene Ellis

Europe's Anti-Business Stance - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  • Europe’s Anti-Business Stance
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