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One of GrayMatterStats strongest indicators was when the system projected an underdog of 3 or more points to win a game outright. In these scenarios, the underdog covered the spread 63.9% of the time.

It goes without saying that pitching is the key to winning baseball; the odds for each game are largely driven by the starting pitcher. One of the very simple angle that we have found success with over time, is focusing on a current list, with a minimum number of starts, of the top ten pitchers by ERA. If any of the current top ten ERA leaders are pitching, that game would be a play for us.