Financial Crisis and Geopolitics

O governo espanhol anunciou a redução de 5% dos salários dos funcionários públicos, o congelamento de salários e o corte de investimentos públicos para enfrentar a crise econômica que afeta o país. Na Grécia, sindicatos convocam quinta greve geral contra corte de pensões anunciado pelo governo. Para analista do Financial Times, origem da crise da dívida dos governos é a prodigalidade de amplos segmentos do setor privado, e do setor financeiro, em particular. "Os mercados financeiros financiaram a orgia e, agora, em pânico, estão se recusando a financiar a faxina resultante", diz Martin Wolf.

Parece que Europa no encuentra de manera definitiva el camino de la recuperación. Si ayer las dudas sobre una posible recaída en la recesión hicieron que la Bolsa viviera sus peores momentos desde el inicio de la crisis y la caída de Lehman Brothers allá por septiembre de 2008, hoy es el presidente del Banco Central Europeo, Jean- Claude Trichet, quien califica la situación de "dramática" y de la peor vivida desde la Primera Guerra Mundial.

Nie wieder eine solche Krise: Der europäische Zentralbankpräsident Trichet ruft die Euro-Staaten zur Ordnung. In der "vielleicht schwierigsten Situation seit dem Ersten Weltkrieg" müssten sie endlich ihre Finanzpolitik konsolidieren, sagte er dem SPIEGEL - und bekommt Unterstützung von Kanzlerin Merkel.

As President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva heads to Tehran this weekend to make what many Western diplomats consider a last-ditch attempt at persuading Iran to temper its nuclear ambitions, officials in Washington have expressed concern that the effort could backfire, helping the Islamic republic to block - or at least delay - the United States and its allies from imposing sanctions.

As Spain's credit rating is downgraded a day after Standard & Poor's cut its ratings on Greek and Portuguese debt, how far could the eurozone's debt contagion spread?

French president Nicolas Sarkozy warned of damage to Franco-German relationship if Angela Merkel opposed EU plan

The audacious bid to protect the euro with a massive rescue fund seems to be faltering. The euro is still losing value as investors worry about the consequences of tough austerity measures. German papers on Friday dissect the common currency's ongoing problems.

Greece will unlikely be able to pay off its nearly 300 billion euro debt, but the rescue package will enable it to hold out for a few more years, according to Heinemann. "In the end, there will be a restructuring of Greece's debt… but in the meantime before that happens, other countries will make such progress that the danger of a meltdown will no longer exist," he told Deutsche Welle. "This means maybe in 2012 a restructuring of Greece's debt can be undertaken without shock waves being triggered."

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker said he's concerned that the euro area may break up after the Greek fiscal crisis that sparked an unprecedented bailout by the region's members.

The Portuguese government Thursday followed Spain's lead in agreeing with the main opposition party on more austerity measures to cut the deficit faster than planned, to 4.6 percent of gross domestic product next year from 9.4 percent last year.

After a nearly $1 trillion rescue package meant to end Europe's debt crisis once and for all, financial markets took a second look Friday and began to worry about how the plan would actually work and the implications of the drastic austerity measures for the fragile European economies.

Trading derivatives on regulated exchanges would be a major step forward, but it may no longer be enough. Economic bubbles are not recognized by those inside of them, the Congress of the united States being no exception. The $604.6 trillion derivatives bubble, which is equal to more than ten times world GDP, is a global issue. If existing OTC derivatives remain in place and there are no restrictions on what banks can trade derivatives, there is no actual or immediate reduction of systemic risk. Thus, the risks that led to the financial crisis in 2008 are likely to remain present in the global financial system for years to come. In fact, many banks have more CDS risk now than in 2008. Passing a bank-approved version of the financial reform bill, while it may be portrayed as a political victory or serve to calm financial markets temporarily, is unlikely to prevent another global financial crisis.

Spain's PM has outlined a plan to tackle the country's budget crisis, amid concerns that problems afflicting Greece may spread across the eurozone.

The country's largest banks and trade groups have hired more than 240 former government officials and legislative staffers to lobby on their behalf in Congress, part of a broader campaign by Wall Street firms to limit the impact of proposed reforms on their industry, according to a report issued Tuesday by liberal groups.

Germany's cabinet has passed a draft law to provide for its portion of Europe's 750 billion euro package to prop up the ailing currency. But will the fund work? Experts are warning that the side effects may be difficult to stomach.

The euro has been rescued for the moment, but European politicians have thrown the foundations of Europe's common currency overboard with their unprecedented bailout package. In the longer term, the dangers of the crisis can only increase, and the flood of billions of euros could also lead to inflation

As China gains dominance on the world stage, more and more multinational corporations will need to rethink their assumptions about competing under its state-capitalism model-one in which the government is the principal economic driver. So says Ian Bremmer, president of the political-risk consulting firm Eurasia Group and author of the upcoming book The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations? In this video interview, Bremmer discusses the fundamental distinctions between state capitalism and free-market economies, as well as the strategic implications this has for Western companies and governments alike.

The International Monetary Fund and the European Union are coming to Greece's aid with a financial commitment worth billions. But is it already too late to rescue the cash-strapped country?

Like the giant financial bailout announced by the United States in 2008, the sweeping rescue package announced by Europe eased fears of a market collapse but left a big question: will it work long term? And as details crystallized of the package's main component - a promise by the European Union's member states to back 440 billion euros, or $560 billion, in new loans to bail out European economies - the wisdom of solving a debt crisis by taking on more debt was challenged by some analysts.

The United States officials began talking to their counterparts about an American concept: overwhelming force. "It's all about psychology," said the senior official. "You have to convince people that the government will get its act together."