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"At least 2 million to 2.5 million new local jobs will be needed until the global economy recovers fully, compared with 1 million to 1.1 million local job creation needed prior to the global economic crisis," the WB said in a report "Bangladesh: State of the Economy and Policy Response to the Global Economic Crisis" launched yesterday.

Due to the global meltdown, the jute sector job loss is projected to reach 50,000 by the end of fiscal 2009, the report said. Twelve spinning mills out of 341 have been shut in the textiles sector.

"The labour force is increasing by two million people a year. If manpower exports revert to the pre-boom era in the Middle East (up to 300,000 a year), the domestic economy will have to create jobs for another 500,000 people a year," the WB said.

Cargo handling at Chittagong port rose 2.3 percent to record 27.6 million tonnes while container handling increased 9.3 percent to 958,020 TEUs (twenty-foot equivalent units) in 2007, from the previous year.

Amin was speaking as the Pacific Consultant International (PCI) of Japan placed a study report on feasibility of a deep seaport proposed by the Chittagong Port Authority (CPA). PCI suggested that Bangladesh should build the proposed $1.2 billion deep seaport near the country's main Chittagong port by 2055 in three phases, with the first phase completed by 2016.

PCI was awarded a $1.62 million contract to conduct the study in 2006, after the Chittagong Port Authority (CPA) had took up a plan for the deep seaport off Kutubdia coast, 65 km (40 miles) south of the port.

Cargo handling at Chittagong port rose 2.3 percent to record 27.6 million tonnes while container handling increased 9.3 percent to 958,020 TEUs (twenty-foot equivalent units) in 2007, from the previous year.

Shipping ministry officials say India and Myanmar repeatedly seek transit facilities from Bangladesh through Chittagong port.

Pacific Consultant International (PCI) of Japan placed a study report on feasibility of a deep seaport proposed by the Chittagong Port Authority (CPA). PCI suggested that Bangladesh should build the proposed $1.2 billion deep seaport near the country's main Chittagong port by 2055 in three phases, with the first phase completed by 2016.

The yield, generally known as interest rate, on 91-day T-bill decreased to 7.70-7.80 percent Sunday from 7.92 percent of the previous auction, held on January 25.Besides, the yield on 364-day T-bill came down to 8.57 percent on the day from 8.60 per cent of the previous auction, held on March 22 last.

There are more than 70 lakh power customers across the country with the peak demand for power exceeding 5,200 megawatt (MW) against a maximum supply of 3,300 MW last year.

The PDB’s earning rate from power sales is decreasing incrementally. On an average, the PDB now purchases power at Tk 2.53 per kilowatt hour (per unit) and sells it at Tk 2.15. In 05-06, the PDB earned Tk 2.27 per unit by selling power and Tk 2.41 in the previous fiscal year. It sells 80 percent of its power to the Desa, Desco, REB, and the Western Zone or Westzone at a rate much lower than its average price. For instance, the REB buys power at Tk 1.94 a unit and sells it around Tk 3 to rural customers. In addition, in the last fiscal, the PDB handed over huge distribution lines to REB. Some of these included PDB’s profitable zones. The Desa, which is the biggest consumer, and is mainly responsible for the loss making spectacle where power thieves take away nearly one fourth of the sales, pays the PDB Tk 1.88 per unit. The Desa however pays another Tk 0.23 per unit to the PGCB as transmission fee. The PDB sells the remaining 20 percent of the total power to its own customers at a much better rate. But this share is too little to improve the PDB’s financial condition. Only a few years back, the PDB’s average power purchase cost Tk 2.15 per unit while the sale price was around Tk 2.4. Back then, systems loss had been the major cause of the PDB’s loss.

DEALING WITH THE IPPS In addition to incurring losses, the PDB is contract-bound to make payments to independent power plants (IPPs) or for private power in foreign currency. Often the PDB is seen running into severe liquidity crisis in making these payments. The cost of IPP power had been largely very friendly for the PDB but the lack of PDB’s power sales price adjustments in the recent years is now taking its toll. The PDB paid a total of Tk 1,707 crore in 2004-05 and Tk 1,934 crore in 2005-06 to IPPs. The IPPS in 2005-06 supplied over 36 percent of the total electricity distributed across the country. The country produced 2,2741 gigawatt hour power during this time in which the IPPs supplied 8,286 gWh. Of all the IPPs, the Meghnaghat and the Haripur AES plants — 450MW and 360 MW — have kept the sinking PDB afloat for a few years. While the PDB swallows heavy losses from all private and public power plants due to inconsistent government policies, power from both Meghnaghat and Haripur plants remain the least costly. The average cost of Meghanaght power was Tk 1.46 a unit in 2004-05 and Tk 1.59 in 05-06, Haripur Tk 1. 25 in 2004-05 and Tk 1.33 in 05-06. The price remains low because of the original deals, and size and location of the plants although the deals demand payment in dollars. In contrast, other IPPs which were conceived and pushed by the Awami League government have remained unkind to the PDB. Two Mymensingh 70 MW simple cycle gas-fired units under the Rural Power Company (RPCL) charged Tk 3.51 a unit in 2005-06. The RPCL is owned by the government’s Rural Electrification Board (REB) and several palli bidyut samities, and is not a typical privately owned company. The NEPC 90 MW gas fired barge-mount plant charged Tk 3.63 a unit in 2005-06, Westmont 90 MW gas-fired barge-mount plant charged Tk 3.68 a unit during the same period and Khulna 110 MW oil-fired plant Tk 8.49 a unit. “Of them, Khulna unit is costly because it uses imported oil. Oil price has gone up from $90 a tonne to $300 in two years. The NEPC and Westmont deals demand payment in dollars, and the high dollar rate has contributed to this price hike,” one source pointed out. “Besides, small power deals always put up comparatively high prices.”

"The number of subscribers doubled in one year -- up from 11 million in 2006 to about 22 million in March 2007, and is forecast to increase to 44 million by 2009," the ADB said in a report released on Tuesday. It said that mobile telecommunications had become one of the most vibrant service sectors in Bangladesh with its growing network coverage, which reaches about 97 percent of the country's population and 82 percent of the land area.

"This indicates the frivolous and volatile nature of the country's politics, from which, unfortunately, the major parties have again failed to break out," Ataur Rahman, a Dhaka University professor and chairman of Bangladesh Political Science Association, said of the dispute. "They are (fighting) each other on a largely non-political issue at a time when the country badly needs a new democratic structure and a sustainable administration," he told Reuters on Sunday. Analysts say such disputes are a distraction when Bangladesh's government should be concentrating on measures to stem corruption and increase transparency, steps that would help attract much-needed investment and aid to the impoverished South Asian country of more than 140 million people. Asif Nazrul, a law professor and analyst, said the government and opposition should go to court to resolve the dispute over Khaleda's residence. "It could temporarily calm down the situation. But the mistrust created through this incident may manifest in various ways and impact future politics," he told Reuters on Sunday.

The top three operators -- Grameenphone, Banglalink and AKTEL -- have withdrawn their Tk 0.25 special tariff. The three operators control more than 90 percent of the market, or 40.14 million customers. The total market size is 45.21 million customers.The mobile operators had previously charged Tk 0.25. Now they are charging a minimum of Tk 0.40 to Tk 0.49 per minute. Grameenphone and Banglalink have recently increased their 'start-up' prices to Tk 900, which ranged from Tk 450 to Tk 500 a month ago. "Bangladesh has the lowest call rates in the world, which means that return on investment takes a very long time. This is why most mobile operators today are still not profitable," Ahmed Abou Doma, chief executive officer and managing director of Banglalink, said yesterday.

Egypt-based Orascom Telecom's subsidiary Banglalink entered the market in 2005. Even after having the market's second largest customer base, the company is yet to enjoy profits mainly because they had to bear the huge subsidised connection costs.

Till December 2007, Aktel was churning profits. But after paying a big fine for conducting illegal VoIP (voice over internet protocol) operations, like other companies, Aktel started to incur losses from early 2008. However, among the top three players, only Grameenphone is now enjoying profits. But it has also revised its tariff plan to continue the trend.

We believe the ADB’s latest predictions are more credible and plausible - although it shows GDP in Bangladesh slower at 5.6% than the Bangladesh Government’s current official forecast of 6%, it is worth emphasizing that this still results in Bangladesh achieving the second fastest growth within Asia, and expanding more than India, a remarkable achievement in terms of economic resilience.

As noted by the World Bank, collapsing Global Trade demand in advanced economies has had serious implications for global trade, with 2009 expected to experience the first yearly decline in world trade volumes since 1982, the largest decline in 80 years.

The World Bank forecasts that remittance flows are estimated to have reached USD 305 billion in 2008, an increase of around 9 percent from 2007

 According to BB statistics, Bangladesh's remittance inflow grew24.43 percent to around 7.03 billion U.S. dollars in July-March period of the current fiscal year (July 2008-June 2009) despite a global recession that forces job cuts around the world.     Bangladesh's exports in the first eight months of the current fiscal year 2008-09 (July 2008-June 2009) posted 15.90 percent growth and stood at around 10.35 billion U.S. dollars.     The country's Letter of Credits (L/Cs) against imports worth 1.57 billion were settled in February over that of 1.999 billion U.S. dollars in January, according to the central bank provisional statistics.