Skip to main content

Home/ AP/Honors Econ Make Up Discussion Articles/ Group items tagged the

Rss Feed Group items tagged

bparksj28

The fiscal cliff may be overblown - The Term Sheet: Fortune's deals blog Term Sheet - 0 views

  • By not going off the cliff, the CBO estimates that deficits over the next decade would rise by a total of $7.7 trillion (that's "trillion" with a "T"). That would bring the total national debt somewhere to around $24 trillion by 2023 which is equal to 90% of GDP (that's pretty high). If we go off the cliff, don't expect a clean slate, though, as the nation would still have a significant budget deficit equal to 58% of GDP in 2023 due to all the mandatory spending associated with the impeding explosion in costs emanating from Social Security and Medicare.
  • The cuts in spending and the increased taxes will cause thousands of people to lose their jobs pretty much overnight (millions of Americans owe their jobs directly or indirectly to federal government spending). This would push unemployment up across the country from 7.9% to 9.1%. As a result, the CBO projects that real GDP would drop by 0.5% in 2013 after growing by 2.1% in 2012. Real GDP would fall at an annual rate of 2.9% in the first half of next year, tipping the nation into a recession that the CBO figures would be similar in magnitude to the one the nation experienced following the first Persian Gulf War in the early 1990s (for those who didn't live through that, it was bad)
  • Indeed, the fiscal cliff is about as real of a problem as the nation's burgeoning national debt – it's theoretically bad, but it isn't bad enough for Washington to risk making the short term any more economically unpleasant than it has to be. After all, there will be elections for the House in just two short years, so neither side wants to go into that election cycle trying to defend why the government instituted growth killing spending cuts while allowing taxes to shoot up to address some arbitrary debt load that investors continue to fund for next to nothing
  • ...5 more annotations...
  • The increase in federal taxes and the reductions in federal spending would cut the budget deficit (the difference between how much revenue the government takes in how much it spends) from $1.1 trillion last year to $641 billion in fiscal 2013, roughly a $500 billion cut. That represents a reduction in the budget deficit (as a percentage share of GDP) not seen since 1969 when the conservative Richard Nixon booted the free-spending Lyndon Johnson out of the White House
  • The increase in federal taxes and the reductions in federal spending would cut the budget deficit (the difference between how much revenue the government takes in how much it spends) from $1.1 trillion last year to $641 billion in fiscal 2013, roughly a $500 billion cut. That represents a reduction in the budget deficit (as a percentage share of GDP) not seen since 1969 when the conservative Richard Nixon booted the free-spending Lyndon Johnson out of the White Hous
  • It is therefore hard for politicians to so brazenly throw the nation into a deep recession to reduce spending when the benefits of acting are so intangible. The fact is that the Budget Control Act of 2011 was political theater in which the Republicans tried to appease "Tea Party" voters – a constituency that has basically been wiped out as the economy has improved. Discussions around raising the marginal tax rate on the top 2% are simply just political fodder. Indeed, multiple studies, including ones by the CBO say that it would raise an insignificant amount of money (a negative for the Democratic view) but would also cause no real harm to the economy (a negative for the Republican view). In the end, if it takes changing the top 2% rate from 35% to 39.6% to end this whole fiscal cliff charade, you can bet it has already been agreed to
  • s it may sound, it is simply irrational for either side to address the deficit in any meaningful way given how cheaply it is for Washington to borrow money. As we have seen in Europe, nations won't swallow the bitter pill of austerity unless the markets force them to
  • As cynical
bparksj28

Legalising marijuana: The view from Mexico | The Economist - 0 views

  • AMERICAN elections are watched closely in Mexico, which sends most of its exports and about a tenth of its citizens north of the border.
  • On the same day, voters in Colorado, Oregon and Washington will vote on whether to legalise marijuana—not just for medical use, but for fun and profit.
  • he impact on Mexico could be profound. Between 40% and 70% of American pot is reckoned to be grown in Mexic
  • ...15 more annotations...
  • the American marijuana business brings in about $2 billion a year to Mexico’s drug traffickers.
  • That makes it almost as important to their business as the cocaine trade, which is worth about $2.4 billion.
  • Many Mexicans therefore wonder if America might consider a new approach. Felipe Calderon, the president, has said that if Americans cannot bring themselves to stop buying drugs, they ought to consider “market alternatives”, by which he means legalisation. Vicente Fox and Ernesto Zedillo, the two previous presidents of Mexico, have reached the same conclusion.
  • About 60,000 have been killed by organised crime during the past six years. Thousands more have disappeared.
  • In Mexico relatively few people take drugs. But many are murdered as a result of the export business.
  • Would Mexico’s bandits find themselves undercut by “El Cártel de Seattle”?
  • Mexico’s traffickers would lose about $1.4 billion of their $2 billion revenues from marijuana.
  • The cost of illegally transporting the drug adds about $500 per kilo for every thousand kilometres that the drug is hauled, it calculates, based on the fact that pot gets pricier the further you get from the Mexican border
  • So smuggling legal Washington dope to New York, for instance, would add about $1,900 to the cost of a kilo, giving a total wholesale price not much below $4,000.
  • That would make it more expensive than imported Mexican pot. But home-grown marijuana is much better quality than the Mexican sort. The content of tetrahydrocannabinol (THC), the part that gives you the giggles, is between 10% and 18%, whereas in Mexican pot it is only about 4% to 6%.
  • Once you adjust for quality, Washington pot would be about half the price of the Mexican stuff, even after it had made its expensive illegal journey to New York.
  • It calculates that the cost of growing marijuana legally is about $880 per kilo. Adding on a decent mark-up, plus the taxes that would be applied, it puts the wholesale price of Washington marijuana at just over $2,000 per kilo.
  • the Sinaloa “cartel” would lose up to half its total income,
  • . Exports of other drugs, from cocaine to methamphetamine, would become less competitive, as the traffickers’ fixed costs (from torturing rivals to bribing American and Mexican border officials) would remain unchanged, even as marijuana revenues fell.
  • Legalisation could, in short, deal a blow to Mexico’s traffickers of a magnitude that no current policy has got close to achieving. The stoned and sober alike should bear that in mind when they cast their votes on Tuesday.
bparksj28

Factory fire raises safety questions for big box stores like Wal-Mart, Sears - Nov. 30,... - 0 views

  • Ten people were injured after jumping from windows to escape the inferno at the 10-story building. Eye witnesses say that managers had locked the windows and gates to the buildings, which had no fire escapes, effectively trapping the workers in.
  • A total of 112 people were killed and at least 200 more were injured in a fire Saturday at the Tazreen Fashions Factory, located near Bangladesh's capital city Dhaka. Two days later, another apparel factory near Dhaka caught fire.
  • Photos of items sold at Wal-Mart
  • ...9 more annotations...
  • taken in the Tazreen Fashions factory surfaced in the days following the fire. The retailer responded by saying that the factory was no longer authorized to produce merchandise for it.
  • "A supplier subcontracted work to this factory without authorization and in direct violation of our policies. Today, we have terminated the relationship with that supplier," Wal-Mart said.
  • Workers rights experts, however, claim that it's unlikely that retailers wouldn't know where their stuff is produced, as a matter of cost and production control.
  • "In order to be profitable, you have to control the supply chain, monitor quality, prices and the speed of delivery,
  • "It's strange that a company would say they had no idea who was making stuff for them."
  • The audits, completed by what it calls accredited or internationally recognized auditing firms, are carried out every six to 24 months. But the reports are not published online. Nor are they shown to factory workers, according to Nova. "There's no transparency. They never publish their findings as to whether or not there's a violation, so there's not much scrutiny about the audits," he said.
  • n order to keep production prices low, Nova said that companies rely on cheap labor, which often goes hand-in-hand with low wages, poor working conditions and safety concerns.
  • "It is such a poor country and so desperate for jobs that they ignore the most minimal labor rights standard," he said. "It's as if everything has to give way just to maintain these garment jobs. There's a fear that the labels will flee and go to another country.
  • Bangladesh's ready-made garments make up 80% of the country's $24 billion in annual exports, and the country has about 4,500 garment factories that make clothes for large global stores including
  •  
    Bangladesh Factory Fire
bparksj28

Federal Reserve official wants low interest rates until unemployment falls to 6.5% - No... - 0 views

  • Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, wants the central bank to keep the federal funds rate near zero until unemployment falls to 6.5% -- a jobless rate not seen since 2008.
  • in January he will rotate into a voting role on the Fed's policymaking committee. For about a year, he has been urging his colleagues to publish clear economic targets that would guide the central bank's policies.
  • . He wants to see the unemployment rate fall to at least 6.5% and inflation not exceed 2.5% a year
  • ...5 more annotations...
  • hope behind the policy is that numerical targets will lift some of the mystery surrounding the Fed's decisions.
  • As economic data is released, the public can base their expectations for Fed policy on a clearer picture of the central bank's goals.
  • "I support this approach because it would enable the public to immediately adjust its expectations concerning the timing of liftoff in response to new information affecting the economic outloo
  • The Fed has kept interest rates near zero since late 2008 in an effort to stimulate the economy. While the unemployment rate has since fallen slightly to 7.9%, the Fed is still unsatisfied with that level and has been pursuing additional alternative policies to boost the economy further.
  • The Fed's policymaking committee is next scheduled to meet Dec. 11-12.
bparksj28

Is There Hope for High-Debt Economies? - Real Time Economics - WSJ - 0 views

  • . Out of 22 advanced economies in the mix, 14 of them breached the 100% debt-to-GDP threshold at least once between 1875 and 1997. (The high debt came from nat
  • The good news: the nations that built up high debt still exist.
  • The bad news: working off heavy debt loads takes an incredibly long time. Fifteen years after breaching the 100% mark, the median debt-to-GDP ratio was only 10 percentage points lower, the IMF said in a new report released Thursday
  • ...1 more annotation...
  • Among the countries in the 100% club: Japan, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Ireland and the U.S. (U.S policymakers and credit-rating firms tend to put the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio at 73%, based on marketable securities held by the public. Gross debt — the $16 trillion figure we see most often — includes money the government owes itself, like for Social Security. But the IMF uses the gross debt figure here.)
bparksj28

Arctic ice: Now you don't | The Economist - 0 views

  • The summer sea ice is shrinking so much mostly because greenhouse warming is raising Arctic temperatures. This has direct effects: when the air is warmer, more ice melts. It also has indirect effects. Warm, salty water from the North Atlantic sliding below the cold, fresh upper layers of the Barents Sea may be one of them. Another could be that warmer air is often moister. Moist air traps more heat in summer. In winter it tends to create more clouds, which keeps the surface below warm.
  • ice-albedo effect:
  • The melt is happening much faster in reality than it does in computer programs.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • The effects in the Arctic, on fisheries and trade, may be easier to measure.
  • On the other side of the ocean the Parry Channel, a part of the Northwest Passage which has been ice-free in previous years, this year stayed resolutely impassable.
  • Such quirks will make the Arctic an unpredictable place to work. But if the details are tricky, the big picture is clear. Clear as an open ocean.
bparksj28

Mexico and the United States: The rise of Mexico | The Economist - 0 views

  • One in ten Mexican citizens lives in the United States. Include their American-born descendants and you have about 33m people (or around a tenth of America’s population)
  • China (with more than 60 mentions in the presidential debates) is by far the biggest source of America’s imports. But wages in Chinese factories have quintupled in the past ten years and the oil price has trebled, inducing manufacturers focused on the American market to set up closer to home. Mexico is already the world’s biggest exporter of flat-screen televisions, BlackBerrys and fridge-freezers, and is climbing up the rankings in cars, aerospace and more. On present trends, by 2018 America will import more from Mexico than from any other country. “Made in China” is giving way to “Hecho en México”.
  • Fewer Mexicans now move to the United States than come back south. America’s fragile economy (with an unemployment rate nearly twice as high as Mexico’s) has dampened arrivals and hastened departures.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • whereas in the 1960s the average Mexican woman had seven children, she now has two. Within a decade Mexico’s fertility rate will fall below America
  • A third of Mexico has a lower murder rate than Louisiana, America’s most murderous state. Nevertheless, the “cartels” will remain strong while two conditions hold. The first is that America imports drugs—on which its citizens spend billions—which it insists must remain illegal
  • Boosting Mexico’s poor productivity means forcing competition on a cosy bunch of private near-monopolies—starting with telecoms, television, cement and food and drink. That means upsetting the tycoons who backed his campaign.
bparksj28

Bulgarian government resigns amid growing protests - Yahoo! News - 0 views

  • Bulgaria's government resigned on Wednesday after violent nationwide protests against high power prices, joining a long list of European administrations felled by austerity during Europe's debt cri
  • raise living standards in the European Union's poorest member,
  • Wage and pension freezes and tax hikes have bitten deep in a country where living standards are less than half the EU average
  • ...5 more annotations...
  • The spark for the protests was high electricity bills, after the government raised prices by 13 percent last July. But it quickly spilled over into wider frustration with Borisov's domineering manner and unpredictable decision making.
  • The prime minister made sacrifices in an attempt to cling on, sacking his finance minister, cutting power prices and risking a diplomatic row with the Czech Republic by punishing foreign-owned companies, a move that conflicted with EU norms on protection of investors and due process.
  • Unemployment in the country of 7.3 million is far from the highs hit in the decade after the end of communism but remains at 11.9 percent and average salaries are stuck at around 800 levs ($550) a month.
  • Millions have emigrated in search of a better life, leaving swathes of the country depopulated and little hope for those who remain.
  • The precedent is unlikely to encourage other foreign investors, who already have to navigate complicated bureaucracy and widespread corruption and organized crime if they want to take advantage of Bulgaria's 16-percent flat tax rate.
bparksj28

8 Truths About Retirement - Business Insider - 0 views

  • irement planning.
  • Retirement Week,” an educational campaign to raise public awareness about the importance of long-term re
  • National Save fo
  • ...13 more annotations...
  • encourages Americans to utilize retirement savings and investment plan strategie
  • The week also encourages individuals to reflect on their current financial situations and their potential for a secure retirement in the future.
  • 2. Half of Americans aren’t saving for retirement
  • 49 percent of Americans say they aren’t contributing to any retirement plan. Those least likely to save for retirement: individuals between ages 18 and 34.
  • planning a home remodel and planning a vacation ranked higher on the list of priorities within the past year than planning for retirement (which ranked third).
  • respondents
  • Apparently 80 is the new 65 for many middle-class Americans when it comes to retirement. One-third of survey
  • The majority of middle-class Americans aren’t confident in the stock marke
  • When survey respondents were asked what they’d do if given $5,000 to invest for retirement, only 24 percent said they’d invest in stocks – compared to 40 percent who would choose a CD or savings account and another 22 percent who would invest in gold or precious metals.
  • Women are less engaged in retirement planni
  • More than 20 percent of Americans have borrowed against their 401(k), the highest percentage since 1996, according to the Employee Benefit Research Institute. The average loan size is 14 percent of the remaining account balance.
  • About 95 percent of companies are back to matching 401(k) contributions, but only 30 percent of employees are taking advantage of this, according to a survey by the nonprofit Plan Sponsor Council of America.
  • Forty percent of Americans fear lack of retirement funds
bparksj28

2C-I or 'Smiles': The New Killer Drug Every Parent Should Know About | Healthy Living -... - 0 views

  • "I think [the drugs] just keep changing to try to circumvent the law," Lindsay Wold, a detective with the Grand Forks police department, told Yahoo Shine. "Anytime we try to figure something out, it changes." Since July, her department has launched an awareness campaign in an effort to crack down on 2C-I's growing popularity with teens and young adults in the area. While reports of overdoses have spiked, Wold says it's difficult to measure it's growth in numbers.
  • "Synthetic drugs don't generally show up on drug tests and that's made it popular with young adults, as well as people entering the military, college athletes, or anyone who gets tested for drugs,"
  • "Many of these types of drugs were originally designed for research to be used on animals, not people." In fact, 2C-I was first synthesized by Alexander Shulgin, a psychopharmacologist and scientific researcher. He's responsible for identifying the chemical make-up of the so-called "2C" family, a group of hyper-potent psychedelic synthetics. I
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • "Drugs used to take longer to get around but now with the internet they can spread by word of mouth online,
  • It's also be blamed for the death of a young man in the same area, who died after repeatedly slamming his body into trees and power line poles while high on the drug.
bparksj28

Federal Reserve details new round of stress tests - Nov. 16, 2012 - 0 views

  • The Federal Reserve, preparing to embark on its latest round of so-called stress tests, released the details Friday of three economic scenarios it will use to judge the health of the U.S.'s largest lenders.
  • 5% decline in gross domestic product, an unemployment rate of 12% and a volatile stock market which loses half its value.
  • The stress tests are mandated by Dodd-Frank, the financial reform law written in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis that brought down Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers.
  • ...2 more annotations...
  • Last year, the Fed's tests showed a majority of the nation's largest banks would be able to weather another deep recession.
  • Ally Financial, Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) and SunTrust (STI, Fortune 500) -- would likely need new capital from either investors or the government in the Fed's adverse economic scenario
  •  
    Dodd-Frank Act - stress test 2012
bparksj28

Newsweek to end publication of its print edition - Oct. 18, 2012 - 0 views

  • "Exiting print is an extremely difficult moment for all of us who love the romance of print and the unique weekly camaraderie of those hectic hours before the close on Friday night," she said in the statement. "But as we head for the 80th anniversary of Newsweek next year, we must sustain the journalism that gives the magazine its purpose—and embrace the all-digital future
  • But Brown said reaching readers in the future increasingly depends on the digital version, citing a Pew Research Center survey that said 39% of Americans get their news from an online source. There are forecast to be 70 million computer tablet users by the end of the year, she said, up from 13 million just two years ago.
  • $7.3 million operating loss
bparksj28

Net capital outflows from Spain equalled more than 50% of country's output - MercoPress - 0 views

  • That compares with a 23% outflow from Indonesia, the country hardest hit by capital flight during the Asian crisis in 1997 and 1998
  • Foreigners and Spaniards alike have contributed to the outflow. During the second quarter of this year, sales of Spanish securities by foreigners equaled 19.4% of the Spanish economy, while foreigners’ withdrawals from Spanish banks accounted for another 15.3%.
  • apital flight seems to be accelerating. Spanish bank deposits by companies and households shrank €74.2 billion (93.4 billion dollars) during July, according to the European Central Bank.
  • ...4 more annotations...
  • Even more worrisome
  • Spain’s banking system “is running out of liquidity and running out of collateral,” since collateral has to be pledged to the ECB when it provides funds.
  • This means Spanish banks are lending less, a drag on economic growt
  • Bank of Spain figures show that net capital outflows—including bank withdrawals and sell-offs of Spanish stocks and bonds—equaled more than 50% of the country’s economic output over the year ended July 31
  •  
    Capital Outflow Crisis
bparksj28

Discount Window Borrowings of Depository Institutions from the Federal Reserve (DISCBOR... - 0 views

  •  
    Shows the use of the discount window of the Federal Reserve
bparksj28

At Apple and JPMorgan, a Good Week for the C.E.O. - NYTimes.com - 0 views

  •  
    The Role of Business in the 21st Economy Tax Avoidance vs Tax Evasion Jeff Sommer
bparksj28

Social Security benefits will get small cost of living bump - Oct. 9, 2012 - 0 views

  • The Labor Department will release its September inflation reading on Oct. 16, which is the final of 12 readings used to calculate the cost of living adjustment made annually to benefits. The Social Security Administration will announce the 2013 benefit increase at that time. Benefits increased by 3.6% in 2012, when inflation was higher.
bparksj28

India hit by national strike over economic reforms - Yahoo! News - 0 views

  • called the strike to protest against a 14 percent increase in heavily subsidized diesel prices, and a government decision that opens the door to foreign supermarket chains investing in India.
  • economic reforms aimed at boosting a sharply slowing economy
  • long demanded by Indian business leaders, were crucial for economic growth.
  • ...3 more annotations...
  • "Good economics seldom makes for good politics,"
  • mom-and-pop "kirana" stores, who fear the retail reform will drive them out of business
  • "If we don't protest now, the central government will eliminate the poor and middle-class families,"
  •  
    India strike over market-oriented new policies
bparksj28

firstamendmentcenter.org: news - 0 views

  • The Supreme Court today turned away a challenge by some dairy farmers who objected to funding ads showing famous people with milk mustaches asking "Got Milk?"
  • A federal appeals court last March relied heavily on the 1997 ruling when it threw out the dairy farmers' challenge to the program that, since 1984, has required them to subsidize generic ads. Dairy farmer
  • and other milk producers are assessed about $250 million a year for the popular ads.
  •  
    Got Milk Campaign Forced to Finance itself
bparksj28

Chart of the Week: Where Does the Federal Government Get Its Revenue? - 0 views

  •  
    federal revenue by source
1 - 20 of 108 Next › Last »
Showing 20 items per page